Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but I'm leaning toward the under on his rebounding total of 13.5. While Jokic has been a rebounding machine, averaging 15.2 boards in his last five games, the dynamics here tell a different story. Against Portland, his average dips to around 11.8 rebounds-a significant drop given their style of play. At home, he's snagged an average of 14.6 boards, but he's hit the under in 4 of his last 12 games at home. With the Trail Blazers often playing smaller lineups, his opportunities could be limited. When you factor in that his expected stat value is around 11.85, the under starts to look enticing, especially with an implied probability of 57.1%. This matchup might just see Jokic focus more on playmaking than crashing the boards.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get My Full Access