Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 12.5 Rebounds (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to face the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to grab over 12.5 rebounds might not be the way to go. Sure, he's been a rebounding beast lately, averaging 15.2 boards over his last five games, and even 14.6 at home. However, the matchup against Portland tells a different story. Historically, Jokic has pulled down just 11.8 rebounds against the Blazers and even less, at 11.2, in their last home encounters. With a hit rate of only 60% in his last ten home games, it's clear that while he's capable, the odds might be stacked against him today. Plus, with an expected stat value of just 11.85, it's hard to ignore the potential for him to fall short of that 12.5 line. Tonight, betting the under could be the savvy play.

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