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Model picks & player props
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
Dallas Mavericks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 6:19AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Mon 2 Mar 2026, 1:00AM
0
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Isaiah Hartenstein CDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day

Dallas Mavericks

  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day
Availability updated Sep 10, 12:05AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Max Christie Dallas Mavericks Rebs + Asts
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Points
Klay Thompson Dallas Mavericks 3-Pointers
Luguentz Dort Oklahoma City Thunder 3-Pointers

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsOklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas MavericksNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadDallas Mavericks spreadNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) meet Oklahoma City Thunder; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineDallas Mavericks to winNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) host or visit Oklahoma City Thunder; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks — 0 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks — recent results

Dallas Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5 games; Oklahoma City Thunder have won 2 of their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W149–128CHIHome
L120–139SAAway
L107–112PHXAway
L103–116LACAway
W134–128LALHome
Oklahoma City Thunder — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L103–111SAHome
L91–118SAAway
W127–114SAHome
L82–103SAAway
W123–108SAAway

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Dallas Mavericks won 0, Oklahoma City Thunder won 1.

DateDallas MavericksOklahoma City ThunderWinner
Mar 287100Oklahoma City Thunder

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerStatus
Kyrie Irving GDAY-TO-DAY
Santi Aldama FDAY-TO-DAY
Dereck Lively II CDAY-TO-DAY
Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Isaiah Hartenstein CDAY-TO-DAY
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Otega Oweh GDAY-TO-DAY
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks — model preview

Winning bets for Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Klay Thompson. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder stats and odds.

Klay Thompson (Dallas Mavericks) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

On a Monday night rumble under the Dallas lights in March, the Mavericks lock horns with the Thunder, and one player, in particular, is primed to light up the court: Klay Thompson. Thompson's prowess beyond the arc is well-documented, but let's underline it. He's been a terror for the Thunder, knocking down an average of three three-pointers per game against them, and upping the ante to 4.5 when playing at home. And speaking of home, Thompson's overall average at his fortress in Dallas is a delicious three. Now, this isn't a flash in the pan trend; in his last 20 games, Thompson's hit over 1.5 threes 17 times. So, when the Mavericks' star guard steps onto the court, expect the unexpected. But one thing you can bank on? Thompson going over 1.5 threes.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Thunder vs Mavericks, or as Mavericks vs Thunder. The most recent game between them was Monday 2 March 2026 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Oklahoma City Thunder 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Mar 2026Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks87–100Oklahoma City Thunder
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