On October 28, 2026 our model has run Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jared McCain Under 2.5 Assists (+118), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Jared McCain Under 2.5 Assists (+118)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Dallas Mavericks struggle with allowing a lot of three-point attempts, and that could mean a busy night for the Thunder's shooters. Jared McCain might find it tough to rack up assists since both teams have been inconsistent lately. The Mavericks also allow quite a few rebounds, which can limit fast breaks and quick passes.
We're betting on Jared McCain to have under 2.5 assists. The Mavericks don't force many turnovers, so he might not get the opportunities he needs to dish the ball out. Plus, the Thunder give up quite a few boards, so offensive chances might be fewer than usual. There's a real chance this pick could lose, especially if McCain finds his rhythm early.
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Kenrich Williams Under 13.5 Pts + Rebs (-122)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds of -122 for Kenrich Williams to score under 13.5 points and rebounds look good, especially based on how both teams play. The Dallas Mavericks have been pretty tough on defense, allowing fewer threes than most teams and forcing turnovers at a decent rate. Kenrich might find it hard to get those numbers up against a Mavericks team that doesn't give away easy chances.
Also, the Oklahoma City Thunder allow a lot of rebounds but they struggle to score consistently. This could limit Williams' opportunities to boost his totals. The closest risk here is that both teams are competitive, which could mean more minutes for him, but that doesn't guarantee he'll hit that mark.
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Kenrich Williams Under 8.5 Points (-125)
Odds correct at time of publishing
You can bet on Kenrich Williams scoring under 8.5 points, and our numbers really like this pick. The Dallas Mavericks are known for allowing a lot of three-point attempts, but they also do a decent job of limiting scoring from role players like Williams. Plus, the Mavericks give up quite a few rebounds, which could mean more chances for their own players to score instead of relying on Williams.
The most concrete risk here is that the Oklahoma City Thunder sometimes push the pace and can create opportunities for everyone. However, Williams doesn't always get a ton of shots, and with his scoring average being low, it's tough to see him breaking through this number. The odds at -125 make this a smart choice.
That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.