On Saturday 26 September 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap (-222)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to face Nottingham Forest, the Eagles will be keen to turn the tide on their dismal home form, which has seen them manage just one win in their last five outings. However, recent trends suggest that they can capitalize on Forest's struggles. Although both teams have been lackluster in front of goal, Palace has an xG average that hints at potential improvement, especially against a Nottingham side that has conceded an alarming 1.4 goals per game on the road. While Palace has faltered at home, they historically find it tough against Forest, having lost four of their last five encounters. Yet, the balance of play suggests a turning point. With Nottingham’s away form featuring a shaky defense, backing Palace to cover the -0.5 handicap feels like a savvy move. They have the potential to edge this match, especially if their attacking stats trend upwards.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: No (+100)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace gears up to face Nottingham Forest, the signs point towards a low-scoring affair. Palace has struggled at home recently, averaging just 1.2 goals while conceding 2.2, illustrating their defensive frailties. Their xG of zero over the last five games reflects a lack of attacking prowess, which is concerning. On the flip side, Nottingham has shown promise away from home, averaging 2.8 goals in their last five matches, but their recent head-to-head record against Palace is bleak, with one win in the last five encounters. Given Crystal Palace’s defensive lapses and Nottingham’s inconsistent scoring against them, it’s hard to see both teams finding the net. Betting on 'No' for both teams to score seems a wise choice, especially when you consider the recent trends and scoring averages.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to face Nottingham Forest, the momentum is shifting in favor of the visitors. Palace's home form has been lackluster, with just one win in their last five, and a troubling record of 0-4-1 against Forest in recent encounters. On the flip side, Nottingham has shown resilience, particularly in away matches where they’ve averaged a commendable 2.8 goals per game in their last five, compared to Palace's meager 1.2 at home. The stats tell a story: Nottingham's attacking prowess, reflected in their 12.2 shots per game away, contrasts sharply with Palace's struggles to create clear chances. With both teams struggling for consistency, backing Nottingham with a +0.25 handicap feels like the smart play. They’ve shown they can score on the road, and with Palace’s defense leaking an average of 2.2 goals at home, expect Forest to capitalize on their fortunes.

That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article