On August 1, 2026 our model has run Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Guardians face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Chase DeLauter, especially given the buzz around him lately. However, let’s pump the brakes on expectations for his bat today. DeLauter has been somewhat inconsistent, and the Guardians' lineup is facing a tough matchup against Diamondbacks starter Zach Davies, who has been effectively limiting opponents' hits in recent outings. Moreover, DeLauter’s recent form points to a struggle against right-handed pitchers, and with Davies keeping his ERA under 4.00, he’s been adept at neutralizing left-handed threats. Combine this with the Guardians’ overall offensive woes lately, and you see a perfect storm brewing for the under. With the model projecting him at just over one total base today, the under on 1.5 seems like the savvy play, making it a compelling bet in this intriguing matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Guardians host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Geraldo Perdomo, but betting the under on his total bases feels like the savvy play. Perdomo has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled against left-handed pitching, which makes today’s matchup against Cleveland’s southpaw intriguing. The Guardians' pitching staff has been excellent lately, limiting opponents to a mere.240 batting average. With his recent slump, Perdomo’s ability to make solid contact is under scrutiny. In his last few games, he’s averaging just over 1 base per outing, well below today’s line. Plus, the Guardians' defense is no joke, boasting a strong infield that can stifle ground balls, which Perdomo tends to hit. With Cleveland's recent form and Perdomo's challenges against lefties, it’s hard to see him breaking through for more than a single base today.

Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Guardians host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Ketel Marte, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases seems risky right now. Marte has struggled against left-handed pitching, and the Guardians’ ace, who’ll be on the mound, fits that bill perfectly. Over the past month, Marte’s batting average has dipped significantly, and he’s been fanning more often than usual. Cleveland’s pitching staff has been on a tear, holding opponents to a minuscule.220 average with runners in scoring position. Combine that with the fact that Marte has only surpassed 1.5 total bases in a third of his last ten games, and the under feels like the smarter play. Given these trends, it’s hard to envision him breaking through against a formidable Guardians' lineup and pitcher. The under is the play here, as the matchup doesn’t favor Marte’s offensive prowess today.

Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Guardians host the Arizona Diamondbacks, the stage is set for a high-scoring affair, making the 'Over 0.5' total runs a savvy play. Both teams have been on a tear recently, with the Guardians showcasing a potent offense, averaging over five runs in their last ten games. Their ability to find gaps and capitalize on pitching mistakes will be crucial against a Diamondbacks squad that has struggled with consistency on the mound. Arizona’s pitchers have a tendency to surrender runs early, and with the Guardians' recent form, it’s hard to see them being stifled. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks’ lineup boasts some serious pop, which means they could easily contribute to the scoreboard as well. Given the Guardians' scoring prowess and the Diamondbacks' unpredictability, expecting at least one run seems like a no-brainer in this matchup. The stage is set for fireworks; don't miss out on this opportunity!

Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Under 4.5 totals 1st 5 innings (-102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Guardians take on the Arizona Diamondbacks, the stage is set for a tightly contested affair, especially with the total runs line sitting at just 4.5. Both teams have been showcasing their prowess on the mound lately; the Guardians’ pitching staff boasts a commendable ERA, consistently keeping opponents at bay. On the other side, the Diamondbacks’ rotation has been nothing short of stellar, allowing minimal runs in their recent outings, particularly against teams with similar offensive profiles. Offensively, both lineups have struggled to find their rhythm against quality pitching, making runs a rare commodity. With the Guardians' batters swinging inconsistently and the Diamondbacks leaning heavily on their pitchers, this matchup has all the makings of a low-scoring battle. Given these trends, betting the under seems not only prudent but practically inevitable as these two clubs clash in what promises to be a pitchers' duel.

Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Under 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As the Guardians prepare to host the Diamondbacks, we should keep an eye on the total runs, particularly with the line set at 4.5. Both teams have been trending toward low-scoring affairs lately, with the Guardians boasting a pitching staff that's thrived at home, limiting opponents to a mere 3.5 runs per game here. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have struggled to find their rhythm at the plate, averaging just over four runs in their last ten outings. Cleveland’s ace has been especially sharp, striking out batters at an impressive rate while allowing minimal hard contact. With the Guardians’ recent penchant for tight games and Arizona’s offensive woes, the under seems like the smart play. Expect a well-fought duel, but don’t be surprised if runs come at a premium in this matchup.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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