Chelsea v Hull City, 12 September 2026. Top of the list: Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.
On Saturday 12 September 2026, Chelsea play Hull City in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +195 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots (+195)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing As Lucas Herrington takes the stage against Chelsea, this matchup offers a tantalizing opportunity for the savvy bettor. While he’s currently not known for his prolific shooting—averaging zero shots in recent games—the tactical dynamics of playing away at Stamford Bridge could shift the narrative. Chelsea tends to dominate possession, potentially forcing Hull City into a defensive shell. This could open up pockets for Herrington to exploit as he seeks to break free for a shot, especially if Hull finds themselves chasing the game. Moreover, the odds suggest there's value here; with an implied probability of nearly 34% for Herrington to register at least one shot, the risk is tantalizingly low compared to the reward. Given the unpredictability of soccer and the opportunities that arise in high-pressure matches, betting on Herrington to take at least one shot feels like a worthwhile gamble.
Lewie Coyle (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+950)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing As Hull City heads to Stamford Bridge, Lewie Coyle presents an intriguing opportunity for the Over 0.5 shots on target bet. While his recent numbers might suggest a quiet spell—averaging just 0.2 shots on target away—there's more than meets the eye. Chelsea's attacking prowess often forces their opponents into a defensive shell, but this can create chances on the break. Coyle is a player who thrives in these situations, and with Hull likely to see less possession, he’ll need to make his moments count. The potential for a defensive lapse from Chelsea could easily set him up for an attempt or two. Even if he hasn't found the net recently, his ability to get forward means he’ll be looking to capitalize. With an implied probability of just 9.5%, we could be tapping into some hidden value here as he aims to break through.
Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 1.5 Shots (+1400)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing As Chelsea gears up to host Hull City, all eyes should be on Lucas Herrington, particularly for the player total shots market. While his recent stats may not paint a picture of a prolific shooter—averaging zero shots in his last five outings—context is key. The atmosphere at Stamford Bridge can often awaken latent talent, especially for players looking to make an impression. Hull City’s defense, while commendable, has shown vulnerabilities, allowing opponents to find space for opportunities. Herrington, a player with a nose for goal, has the chance to exploit these gaps. With Chelsea likely dominating possession, he could see more chances than usual. The 1.5 line feels generous here, especially considering the potential for a breakthrough performance. Sometimes, it’s about timing and opportunity, and this match could be the stage Herrington needs to turn things around.
That is how our model reads Chelsea v Hull City. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime