On Sunday 27 September 2026, Brentford play Liverpool in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Brentford +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -185 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Brentford vs Liverpool: Brentford +0.5 Goal Handicap (-185)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Brentford prepares to host Liverpool, recent form suggests a compelling edge for the Bees. At home, Brentford has averaged an impressive 2.4 goals while conceding just 0.6 in their last five matches, showcasing a solid defensive foundation. Meanwhile, Liverpool has struggled away, netting only 1.8 goals per game and leaking a concerning 1.8 as well. Digging deeper, Brentford's last five home performances reflect their attacking prowess with around 15.8 shots per game. In contrast, Liverpool’s away form has seen them manage a similar number of shots but with less efficiency. With Brentford's confidence high and their home record reflecting a level of dominance, backing them at a handicap of 0.5 looks promising. They’ve shown they can not only compete but thrive against top opposition, giving us solid grounds to believe they can clinch a win against a faltering Liverpool side.

Brentford vs Liverpool: Both Teams To Score: No (+170)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Brentford prepares to host Liverpool, there’s a compelling case for betting on "No" for both teams to score. Brentford has been solid defensively at home, allowing just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, while their attacking stats indicate a tendency to control the game rather than go all-out offensively, averaging only 2.4 goals scored at home. Liverpool, despite their attacking pedigree, has been inconsistent, netting just 1.8 goals away and showing vulnerability against organized defenses like Brentford's. The xG numbers reflect a tight encounter, with both teams struggling to create clear chances. Brentford’s recent home form and Liverpool’s away struggles suggest a scenario where one side might dominate without the other finding the net. Given these trends, a scoreless draw or a narrow win for one side seems plausible, making the "No" bet a smart move.

That is how our model reads Brentford v Liverpool. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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