Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics) Over 29.5 Points + Rebounds (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Jaylen Brown to exceed that 29.5 points + rebounds mark. At home, Brown has been a scoring machine, averaging nearly 30 points and over 6 rebounds in his last five games at TD Garden. His performance against the Raptors has been nothing short of impressive, notching 24.8 points and 7.6 rebounds on average per encounter at home, showcasing a strong connection with the parquet floor.With a hit rate of 7 out of his last 8 games, including a perfect 4-for-4 at home, he's proven to be a reliable contributor. The Celtics will rely on Brown's offensive prowess, especially with a 36.67 expected stat value pushing him toward the over. Given these trends and the home court advantage, bet the Over on Brown's points + rebounds; it feels like a smart play.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 7.5 Assists (+102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors head into Boston, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but don't be surprised if he falls short of 7.5 assists. While Barnes has been a playmaker, averaging 11 assists over his last five games, that number takes a dip on the road, where he's logged just 9.2 assists recently. When facing the Celtics, his away average against them drops to a mere 3.8 assists. With the Celtics' stifling defense, which excels at limiting opponents' playmaking, it's clear that this matchup won't favor Barnes. His overall hit rate shows he's been under this mark in 9 of his last 13 away games. So, while the talent is there, the circumstances suggest he'll struggle to hit the over in Boston. Going under 7.5 assists for Barnes feels like the smart play in this high-stakes matchup.

Sam Hauser (Boston Celtics) Over 11.5 Points + Rebounds (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Boston Celtics host the Toronto Raptors, keep a keen eye on Sam Hauser, particularly for the Over on his combined points and rebounds at 11.5. Hauser has been coming into his own lately, averaging 12 points and 3.6 rebounds over his last five games. More importantly, when playing at home against the Raptors, he's stepped up his game, averaging 13.2 points and a solid 4 rebounds. His recent form shows promise, with a hit rate of 4 out of his last 6 outings, and 2 out of 3 at home. With the Celtics looking to secure a crucial win against a formidable opponent, expect Hauser to play a pivotal role off the bench. Given that the implied probability suggests he's right on the cusp of hitting this mark, it's a tantalizing opportunity to back him to eclipse that 11.5 threshold.

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