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Model picks & player props
NHL
TD Garden, Boston
Indoor
Tue 24 Mar 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Boston Bruins

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 6 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins and backs Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $165.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Toronto Maple Leafs
with a 1.5-goal head start
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$16.49Best price-154
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.3%
The price says60.6%

The model graded 6 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $165 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 24 Mar 2026, 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High72% chance -154
Moneyline Members only High67% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High98% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High99% chance Members
Spread Members only High64% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins last met on Tue 24 Mar 2026: Toronto Maple Leafs won 4-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
-154
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston BruinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Kirill Marchenko RWOut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Nick Blankenburg DOut
  • Marshall Rifai DOut
  • John Tavares COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut

Boston Bruins

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated Oct 29, 5:28PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Boston BruinsNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.8GA/G2.8Shots/G29.0vs Leafs2-3

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins — recent results

Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5.

Boston Bruins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–4CHIHome
L1–4STLAway
L1–2CARAway
W6–4SJHome
W6–0NSHHome
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2VANAway
L4–5SEAAway
L2–5CGYAway
W7–2EDMAway
W5–4NYRHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Boston Bruins won 0, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

DateBoston BruinsToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Mar 2424Toronto Maple Leafs

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Kirill Marchenko RWOUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Nick Blankenburg DOUT
Marshall Rifai DOUT
John Tavares COUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins — model preview

Deep dive into Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Anthony Stolarz. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs stats and odds.

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs : Toronto Maple Leafs win (-137)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Toronto Maple Leafs is primarily driven by their superior offensive performance. Despite having a mixed record in their last five games, the Leafs have demonstrated strong attacking prowess, averaging 3.8 goals in total and 3.2 even-strength goals, compared to Bruins' 3.4 and 2.8 respectively. This indicates a potential edge in open play. Furthermore, the Leafs have shown more productive teamwork, with an average of 7.4 assists and 9.4 even-strength points, significantly higher than the Bruins' 5 and 6.6. Although the Bruins have been solid at home, the Leafs' higher scoring and play-making capabilities, as predicted by the model, suggest they can overcome this challenge. It's important to note that sport outcomes can be unpredictable and while stats provide a guide, they don't guarantee results.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Bruins, or as Bruins vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 24 March 2026 at TD Garden. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 24 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs beat Boston Bruins 4-2 on the road

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Vancouver Canucks 4-2
  2. 28 Oct 2026Lostat Seattle Kraken 4-5
  3. 26 Oct 2026Lostat Calgary Flames 2-5
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Edmonton Oilers 7-2
  5. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Rangers 5-4

Boston Bruins: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Chicago Blackhawks 5-4
  2. 29 Oct 2026Lostat St. Louis Blues 1-4
  3. 27 Oct 2026Lostat Carolina Hurricanes 1-2
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs San Jose Sharks 6-4
  5. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs Nashville Predators 6-0

Quick answers

Who won the last Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs game? Toronto Maple Leafs won their last meeting 4-2 on 24 March 2026.

How have Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins done lately? Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Boston Bruins won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Toronto Maple Leafs 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Tue 24 Mar 2026, Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins: the Maple Leafs won 4-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
24 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins2–4Toronto Maple Leafs

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