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Model picks & player props
NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Thu 22 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
New York Rangers
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 15 markets for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs and backs Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $141.

13
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Toronto Maple Leafs
with a 1.5-goal head start
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$14.10Best price-244
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win80.3%
The price says70.9%

The model graded 15 markets for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $141 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 22 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High80% chance -244
Puck Lines Members only High73% chance Members
Spread Members only High72% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean48% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Anytime Goal × 1 prop Long-shotup to 30% Members
Saves × 1 prop Highup to 61% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs last met on Thu 22 Oct 2026: Toronto Maple Leafs won 5-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
+ 12 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Rangers3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York RangersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Rangers

  • Alberts Smits DOut
  • Sean Durzi DOut
  • Igor Shesterkin GOut
  • Joe Veleno COut
  • Aidan Thompson COut
  • Adam Sykora LWOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Morgan Rielly DOut
  • Colton Sissons COut
  • Kirill Marchenko RWOut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Nick Blankenburg DOut
  • Marshall Rifai DOut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 10:13PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gabe Perreault New York Rangers Anytime Goal
Dylan Garand New York Rangers Saves

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans New York RangersNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G2.4GA/G2.6Shots/G29.0vs Leafs2-3

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineNew York Rangers -1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G2.4GA/G2.6Shots/G29.0vs Leafs2-3

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs — 13 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York Rangers have won 3 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6COLHome
L0–4NJHome
L2–4MTLHome
L2–3UTAHome
W4–2VANAway
New York Rangers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3EDMAway
W4–3SEAAway
W3–2PHIHome
W3–1STLHome
L1–4EDMHome

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Toronto Maple Leafs won 2, New York Rangers won 1.

DateToronto Maple LeafsNew York RangersWinner
Oct 2254Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 2543Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 626New York Rangers

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Morgan Rielly DOUT
Colton Sissons COUT
Kirill Marchenko RWOUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Nick Blankenburg DOUT
Marshall Rifai DOUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
New York Rangers
PlayerStatus
Alberts Smits DOUT
Sean Durzi DOUT
Igor Shesterkin GOUT
Joe Veleno COUT
Aidan Thompson COUT
Adam Sykora LWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs — model preview

Toronto Maple Leafs v New York Rangers, 23 October 2026. Top of the list: Pavel Dorofeyev (New York Rangers) Over 0.5 Assists. Here is why, in plain English.

On October 22, 2026 our model has run New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Rangers To Win (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Rangers vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Rangers. The most recent game between them was Thursday 22 October 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 13 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 22 Oct 2026Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Rangers 5-4 at home
  • 25 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Rangers 4-3 at home
  • 5 Mar 2026New York Rangers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6-2 at home

New York Rangers: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Seattle Kraken 4-3
  2. 5 Nov 2026Wonvs Philadelphia Flyers 3-2
  3. 3 Nov 2026Wonvs St. Louis Blues 3-1
  4. 1 Nov 2026Lostvs Edmonton Oilers 1-4
  5. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Kings 3-6

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 5 results

  1. 10 Nov 2026Lostvs Colorado Avalanche 3-6
  2. 8 Nov 2026Lostvs New Jersey Devils 0-4
  3. 7 Nov 2026Lostvs Montreal Canadiens 2-4
  4. 3 Nov 2026Lostvs Utah Mammoth 2-3
  5. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Vancouver Canucks 4-2

Quick answers

Who won the last Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers game? Toronto Maple Leafs won their last meeting 5-4 on 22 October 2026.

How have New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs done lately? New York Rangers won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs: the season so far

From every final score this season

New York Rangers are 10-8 this season and Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-12. Toronto Maple Leafs are 4-8 at home. New York Rangers are 2-6 on the road. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.4 goals a game and let in 3.5. New York Rangers score 3.1 and let in 2.9. Toronto Maple Leafs games have averaged 6.9 goals in total; New York Rangers games have averaged 5.9. New York Rangers have won their last 3 and Toronto Maple Leafs have lost their last 4.

SeasonNew York RangersToronto Maple Leafs
Won-lost10-88-12
At home8-24-8
On the road2-64-4
Last 104-64-6
Goals scored a game3.13.4
Goals let in a game2.93.5
Goals scored at home3.92.6
Goals scored away2.04.5
Against winning sides5-53-9
Current runWon 3Lost 4
Biggest win6-2 vs Vancouver Canucks7-2 at Edmonton Oilers
Heaviest loss7-1 at New Jersey Devils4-0 vs New Jersey Devils

Teams they have both played

  • Against New Jersey Devils: Toronto Maple Leafs lost 0-4 at home; New York Rangers lost 1-7 on the road.
  • Against Utah Mammoth: Toronto Maple Leafs lost 2-3 at home; New York Rangers won 4-2 at home.
  • Against Vancouver Canucks: Toronto Maple Leafs won 4-2 on the road; New York Rangers won 6-2 at home.

Quick answers

How are Toronto Maple Leafs doing this season? Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-12 this season: 4-8 at home and 4-4 on the road.

How many goals do New York Rangers score a game? New York Rangers score 3.1 goals a game this season and let in 2.9, across 18 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 22 Oct 2026, New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs: the Maple Leafs won 5-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
22 Oct 2026New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs5–4Toronto Maple Leafs
25 Mar 2026New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs4–3Toronto Maple Leafs
6 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Rangers6–2New York Rangers
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