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Model picks & player props
NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Mon 19 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET
San Jose Sharks
4-4 · 2-2 awayWLLWL
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs
3-6 · 2-4 at homeLWLLL

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks · Mon 19 Oct

Our model backs San Jose Sharks in San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $280.

1
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks 3-Way Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$28.00Best price+180
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.0%
The price says35.7%

For San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL), this is the model’s pick — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $280 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 19 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena.

How they've been scoring this season
San Jose SharksToronto Maple Leafs
Won-lost4-43-6
Goals scored per game2.83.2
Goals allowed per game3.63.6
On the road / at home2-2 away2-4 at home
Last 5 gamesWLLWLLWLLL
Their games average 6.6 total goals this season.
From the 8 San Jose Sharks and 9 Toronto Maple Leafs games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Leafs about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Sharksabout 4 in 10$2.29 (+129)$2.22 (+122)
Leafsabout 6 in 10$1.77 (-130)$1.71 (-141)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.40 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 20 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3-Way Moneyline
San Jose Sharks
+180
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Jose Sharks3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Jose Sharks

  • Quentin Musty LWOut
  • Kyle Keyser GOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • John Tavares COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Chris Tanev DOut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut
Availability updated Oct 17, 8:19PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Toronto Maple LeafsNo line posted
1-4last 5 record
GF/G3.6GA/G4.0Shots/G26.4vs Sharks1-4

San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted
1-4last 5 record
GF/G3.6GA/G4.0Shots/G26.4vs Sharks1-4

San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 1 betting market for San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs — 1 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 1 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 1 of their last 5 games; San Jose Sharks have won 2 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4NYIHome
L4–5BUFHome
L4–5UTAAway
W6–3COLAway
L3–4VGKAway
San Jose Sharks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4DETAway
W3–2NSHAway
L3–6BOSHome
L1–3EDMHome
W3–2STLAway

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, San Jose Sharks won 1.

DateToronto Maple LeafsSan Jose SharksWinner
Apr 314San Jose Sharks

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
John Tavares COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Chris Tanev DOUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT
William Villeneuve DOUT
San Jose Sharks
PlayerStatus
Quentin Musty LWOUT
Kyle Keyser GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Sharks vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Sharks. The next scheduled game is Monday 19 October 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 1 game pick for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
San Jose Sharks 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Fri 3 Apr 2026, Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks: the Sharks won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
3 Apr 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ San Jose Sharks4–1San Jose Sharks
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