Fernando Tatis Jr. (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-217)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves host the Padres on July 21, all eyes will be on Fernando Tatis Jr. However, betting on him to go over 1.5 hits might not be the best play. Tatis has been facing a fierce Braves pitching staff that’s been relentless lately, allowing just a .225 batting average against them at home. Atlanta’s ace has been particularly effective at shutting down top hitters, with Tatis struggling in the last few matchups, often finding himself in tough counts. Moreover, Tatis tends to thrive against lesser pitchers, but with the Braves’ current form and their ability to neutralize power hitters, he might find himself limited. With a model prediction suggesting he’ll fall short of the mark, taking the under on his hits seems like the savvy play. Expect the Braves' pitchers to keep Tatis in check, making the under a compelling option tonight.

Drake Baldwin (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves gear up to face the Padres, all eyes should be on rookie sensation Drake Baldwin. While he’s made waves with his potential, the matchup against San Diego’s pitching lineup could pose a significant challenge. The Padres' starters have been particularly effective at limiting hits, showcasing a solid track record of silencing opposing bats. Baldwin, despite flashes of brilliance, has struggled against right-handed pitchers, and with the formidable Joe Musgrove expected to take the mound, it’s a tough hill to climb. Musgrove has been adept at inducing ground balls and keeping opponents off balance, evident in his impressive strikeout-to-walk ratio this season. With Baldwin projected to tally under 1.5 hits in this matchup, the odds favor a low-output night for him in what could turn into a pitcher's duel. Keep an eye on these trends; they paint a picture of a night where the under could very well cash in.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Braves host the San Diego Padres, all eyes will be on Jackson Merrill, but the smart money is on him falling short of 1.5 hits. Merrill has been a promising addition, yet he’s facing a Braves pitching staff that has been nothing short of stellar lately. They boast a formidable 3.40 ERA over the past month, effectively keeping opposing bats in check. Furthermore, Merrill’s recent performance shows a tendency to struggle against right-handed pitchers, and with the Braves deploying a sharp righty, the odds of him racking up multiple hits dwindle. The Padres have also struggled offensively, averaging just 3.5 runs per game in their last ten outings. Given the trends and the Braves’ current form, Merrill going under 1.5 hits seems like the savvy play in this matchup.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks