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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Drake Baldwin is Under 2.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 3:35AM UTC
MLB

Drake Baldwin

MLB

+15.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 2.5 -455 (1.22)
+15.8% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.8%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+15.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs97.8%82.0%1.02+15.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/9

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AI Analysis

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Drake Baldwin Under 2.5 RBIs (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Drake Baldwin Under 2.5 RBIs (-455). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2
O 0.550%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
30110102

Drake Baldwin MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
001202

Drake Baldwin MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Drake Baldwin MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2
O 0.550%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 4.7 · hi 10 · lo 0
1004

Drake Baldwin MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
00002

Drake Baldwin MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
000

Drake Baldwin MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Drake Baldwin MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Drake Baldwin MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -556 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Drake Baldwin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drake Baldwin is Under 2.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Thursday 6 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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