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The latest Bet Better model pick for Drake Baldwin is Over 1.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 1Blanded 8 of the last 9
Under 1.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Under 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 4 of the last 5

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 18, 3:08PM UTC
MLB

Drake Baldwin

ATL

Value call

Drake Baldwin has one live pick today: Batter - Home Runs Over 1.5 that pays $5,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Home Runs Over 1.5 +5000 (51.00) · $100→$5,100
Value call
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sat 19 Sep, 12:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 107 of 225 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Home Runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.8% · before adjusting for past results 3.9% · the book's price implies 2.0% · gap +5.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs3.9%7.8%2.0%12.86+1.9%

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The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves: Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Batter - Home Runs (+5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Drake Baldwin has been on a hot streak lately, getting hits at about 1.3 times his usual rate. He's hitting the ball hard and at the right angle, which can lead to some exciting moments. The Houston Astros have faced left-handed pitchers like the one in this game, and they tend to perform well. They've done a decent job against lefties this season, so Baldwin might find some opportunities to shine. While the Atlanta Braves have also been playing similarly, they haven't been as effective against left-handed pitchers this year. This matchup at Minute Maid Park could be just right for Baldwin to hit a couple of home runs. The biggest risk here is the chance that both teams are coming off uneven performances lately, but at these odds, it's worth a shot to see if Baldwin can keep his momentum going.

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Pick History & Track Record

Drake Baldwin's lines for Sat 19 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Home Runs 1.5
+450 best over price · 10 booksHow many home runs does Drake Baldwin hit?

Drake Baldwin's batter home runs line is 1.5, best over price +450 across 10 books.

Batter Hits 0.5
-222 best over price · 12 booksHow many home runs does Drake Baldwin hit?

Drake Baldwin's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -222 across 12 books.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Drake Baldwin hit?

Drake Baldwin's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Walks 0.5
+145 best over price · 2 booksHow many home runs does Drake Baldwin hit?

Drake Baldwin's batter walks line is 0.5, best over price +145 across 2 books.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Drake Baldwin has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.530%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Drake Baldwin hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Drake Baldwin (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drake Baldwin is Over 1.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros on Saturday 19 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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