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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Olson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
MLB

Matt Olson

ATL

+11.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -154 (1.65) · $100→$165
+11.7% Edge
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.3%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases72.3%60.6%1.38+11.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Matt Olson (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matt Olson (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -154
80%hit L10
L2065%
Game log vs U 1.57 / 12 hit
010010646404

Matt Olson MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -154.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs NYMU 0.5 -588
80%hit L10
L2080%
Game log vs U 0.56 / 8 hit
00101000

Matt Olson MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 0.5 at -588.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Matt Olson MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 2 · hi 6 · lo 0
0206303

Matt Olson MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.6 · hi 1 · lo 0
1011001101

Matt Olson MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
02310

Matt Olson MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
00000

Matt Olson MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 2 · lo 0
0001002000

Matt Olson MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Matt Olson MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Singles Pending

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About This Player

Matt Olson (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Olson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Monday 10 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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