On August 1, 2026 our model has run Detroit Tigers at Athletics and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Spencer Torkelson (DET) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 3 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Every bet we like in this game
Spencer Torkelson (DET) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics gear up to face the Tigers, the spotlight shines on Spencer Torkelson, but betting the under on his runs scored might just be the smart play. Torkelson has had a rocky road lately, managing only a handful of hits in his last few outings against left-handed pitching—something the Athletics' starter excels at. Consider that the Athletics have been tough at home, allowing fewer runs and stifling opposing hitters. Torkelson’s recent struggles, combined with Oakland’s strong pitching staff, create a scenario where crossing the plate might be an uphill battle for him. With an implied probability nudging 80% for the under at 1.5, it’s hard to ignore that trend. The momentum is clearly in favor of the Athletics, making this matchup a challenging one for Torkelson to find his rhythm. Take the under and watch as the numbers play out in Oakland’s favor.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics gear up to host the Tigers, keep an eye on Lawrence Butler’s plate discipline. Butler has been battling consistency, evidenced by his recent struggles at the plate. Over the last month, he’s only managed to draw a walk in a scant few appearances, underscoring his aggressive approach. The Tigers' pitching staff, particularly their relievers, have tightened up, showcasing a lower walk rate, which further complicates Butler's chances of getting free passes. Moreover, Butler's swing rate has soared, as he's been swinging at pitches outside the strike zone more frequently. This trend suggests he's more likely to chase than to wait for his pitch. With the Athletics’ lineup showing signs of life but still lacking in patience, the under on Butler’s walks feels like a savvy play. Expect him to stay aggressive, which could leave him with another day of no free passes against a disciplined Tigers’ pitching squad.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics gear up to face the Tigers, keep an eye on Tyler Soderstrom’s walk total, particularly with the line set at 0.5. Soderstrom has shown a tendency to be aggressive at the plate, swinging early in counts rather than waiting for his pitch. It’s evident in his recent games, where he’s only drawn a handful of walks amid a surge of plate appearances. The A's face a Tigers pitching staff that’s been surprisingly effective lately, with a solid strikeout rate and a knack for inducing weak contact, making it even trickier for hitters like Soderstrom to find their way on base for free. With the odds leaning towards the under, all signs point to a day where Soderstrom's approach might keep him from drawing a walk. This matchup could play into the hands of the Tigers’ pitchers, making the under an enticing option to consider.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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