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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonah Heim is Under 2.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +18.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 20, 3:44AM UTC
MLB

Jonah Heim

MLB

+18.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Under 2.5 -164 (1.61)
+18.2% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Wed 8 Apr, 8:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.4%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+18.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs80.4%—62.1%1.24+18.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Jonah Heim (NA) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels take on the Braves, keep an eye on Jonah Heim’s performance, particularly regarding his hits, runs, and RBIs. Despite his occasional flashes of brilliance, Heim has been inconsistent at the plate lately, struggling to find his rhythm against right-handed pitchers like Spencer Strider, who has been dominant this season with a sub-3 ERA. The Braves’ pitching staff, especially in crucial situations, can stymie even the hottest hitters. Looking at recent trends, Heim has fallen short of the 2.5 mark in several matchups, often finding himself in situations where scoring opportunities evaporate against elite pitching. With the Angels' lineup also struggling to produce runs in key moments, the under on Heim’s combined total feels like a smart play. This matchup has the makings of a well-pitched duel, making it tough for any batter to rack up stats, particularly someone like Heim in the heart of the order.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
0.4avg hits · L5
L2060%
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Jonah Heim MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.4 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.6avg total bases · L5
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Jonah Heim MLB total bases: averaging 0.6 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.6avg H+R+RBI · L5

Jonah Heim MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 0.6 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
0.2avg singles · L5

Jonah Heim MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.2 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg doubles · L5

Jonah Heim MLB doubles: averaging 0.2 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg walks · L5
Streak2
O 0.540%

Jonah Heim MLB walks: averaging 0.8 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jonah Heim is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonah Heim is Under 2.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday 8 April at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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