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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonah Heim is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 28%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 3:14PM UTC
MLB

Jonah Heim

TEX

Value call

Jonah Heim has one live pick today: Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 that pays $353 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +253 (3.53) · $100→$353
Value call
Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.9% · before adjusting for past results 45.2% · the book's price implies 28.3% · gap +14.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases45.2%42.9%28.3%2.33+16.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Cleveland Guardians vs Athletics: Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+253)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cleveland has been on a nice run at home, winning 6 of their last 8 games. The Guardians have also won 4 of their last 6 overall, showing good form. Jonah Heim is up against a Cleveland team that's been solid lately, but he has performed decently against left-handed pitchers this season. His stats show he can get on base, even if he hasn't been hitting at his best, so there's a chance he can rack up those total bases. The biggest risk is that the Guardians have a strong pitching staff, which could make things tough for Heim. Still, with the way he's been getting plate appearances, he has opportunities to make something happen. Betting on him to get over 1.5 total bases could be a fun pick given the odds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jonah Heim's lines for Sun 20 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
+280 best over price · 7 booksHow many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price +280 across 7 books.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+350 best over price · 9 booksHow many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +350 across 9 books.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 3.5
How many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 3.5.

Batter Singles 1.5
+1000 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter singles line is 1.5, best over price +1000 across 1 book.

Batter Total Bases 2.5
+280 best over price · 7 booksHow many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter total bases line is 2.5, best over price +280 across 7 books.

Batter Singles 0.5
+175 best over price · 4 booksHow many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +175 across 4 books.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5
How many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?

Jonah Heim's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 2.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jonah Heim is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.8
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Jonah Heim has gone over 0.5 H in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.510%
o2.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jonah Heim is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against CLE.

0.4
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.2
Hits · vs CLE
0.0
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs CLE
Quick answers:How many home runs does Jonah Heim hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jonah Heim (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonah Heim is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.8% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians on Sunday 20 September at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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