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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonah Heim is Under 0.5 on Batter - Singles.
On the Batter - Singles market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +18.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 9, 7:19AM UTC
MLB

Jonah Heim

TEX

+18.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Singles Under 0.5 -133 (1.75)
+18.7% Edge
Athletics @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.9%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+18.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Singles75.9%57.1%1.32+18.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Jonah Heim (TEX) Under 0.5 Singles (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jonah Heim (TEX) Under 0.5 Singles (-133). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

7 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -196
0.4avg hits · L5

Jonah Heim MLB hits: averaging 0.4 hits over the last 5. Current line U 1.5 at -196.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -185
80%hit L10
0.6avg total bases · L5
Streak4L2070%
Game log vs U 1.53 / 7 hit
4632011

Jonah Heim MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.6 total bases over the last 5. Current line U 1.5 at -185.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -137
0.6avg H+R+RBI · L5
Game log vs U 1.52 / 6 hit
202203

Jonah Heim MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 0.6 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Current line U 1.5 at -137.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -303
Game log vs U 0.55 / 9 hit
101001002

Jonah Heim MLB rbis. Current line U 0.5 at -303.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -222
Game log vs U 0.56 / 9 hit
110000100

Jonah Heim MLB runs scored. Current line U 0.5 at -222.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -133
50%hit L10
0.2avg singles · L5
Streak2L2055%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 8 hit
21000001

Jonah Heim MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.2 singles over the last 5. Current line U 0.5 at -133.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -588
100%hit L10
0.2avg doubles · L5
Streak19L2095%
Game log vs U 0.56 / 9 hit
011001000

Jonah Heim MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.2 doubles over the last 5. Current line U 0.5 at -588.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg walks · L5
O 0.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
0101

Jonah Heim MLB walks: averaging 0.8 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Athletics @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Athletics @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -145 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jonah Heim (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonah Heim is Under 0.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Boston Red Sox on Sunday 9 August at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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