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Model picks & player props
Las Vegas Aces
VS
New York Liberty

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 8, 11:19PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

WNBA
Barclays Center, New York
Indoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 4:40PM
20
Game Picks
40
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Las Vegas Aces 15 (alternate_spreads)
For Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty (WNBA), model win probability 87.0%, fair odds 1.49, book price -238, model edge +16.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 4:40PM at Barclays Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 47 of 65 right (wnba spreads calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 8
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Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Alt Spread
Las Vegas Aces
+15
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Las Vegas Aces on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Las Vegas Aces
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Sportsbet
on Las Vegas Aces
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Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Las Vegas Aces

  • Jackie Young GDay-to-day
  • A'ja Wilson CDay-to-day
  • Justine Pissott GDay-to-day
  • Chelsea Gray GDay-to-day

New York Liberty

  • Satou Sabally FOut
  • Leonie Fiebich FOut
Availability updated Aug 8, 10:41PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jackie Young player_rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jackie Young player_rebounds_assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jackie Young player_points_rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chelsea Gray player_rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chelsea Gray player_assists_alternate 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Las Vegas Aces @ New York Liberty — model preview

<p>New York Liberty v Las Vegas Aces, 10 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 198.5 Total Points. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.</p>

On Monday 10 August 2026, New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 198.5 Total Points, priced at -455 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 198.5 Total Points (-455)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

As the New York Liberty prepare to host the Las Vegas Aces at Barclays Center, the stage is set for a clash that could be more about defense than scoring fireworks. Both teams are known for their defensive prowess, and tonight's matchup could see them trading blows rather than buckets. The Aces, with their disciplined approach, often stifle opponents, while the Liberty have shown they can clamp down when it matters most. Factor in the pace of play-neither team is particularly inclined to push the tempo excessively, favoring efficiency over chaos. Our model suggests a combined total closer to 160, well below the line set for this game. With both squads likely focusing on defense and strategic execution, putting your chips on the under seems to align perfectly with the expected flow of this battle. Keep an eye on the defensive schemes; they could very well dictate a lower-scoring affair tonight. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Over 22.5 Points (-227)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is A'ja Wilson Over 22.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists (-161)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Aces vs Liberty, or as Liberty vs Aces. The next scheduled game is Sunday 9 August 2026 at Barclays Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 40 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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