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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Sparks
VS
Minnesota Lynx

Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 23, 3:24PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Target Center, Minnesota
Indoor
Fri 7 Aug 2026, 1:05AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
88.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Sparks 21 Alt Spread -204

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $149 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 88.5% across 61 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 7 Aug 2026, 1:05AM at Target Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win83.7%
The price says64.0%
Best price-204
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Spread Los Angeles Sparks 21 High84% chance -204
Alt Spread High67% chance
Alt Total Points High66% chance
Total Points High64% chance
Alt Total Points High73% chance
Alt Total Points High68% chance
Alt Total Points High70% chance
Alt Spread High85% chance
Alt Spread High70% chance
Points (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 83%
Assists × 6 props Highup to 76%
Assists (Alt) × 5 props Highup to 72%
Points × 10 props Highup to 83%
Pts+Ast × 5 props Highup to 83%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Los Angeles Sparks 21 · $100 returned $149

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 725 of 958 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 22
Portland Fire 3.5
Portland Fire @ Toronto Tempo
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Los Angeles Sparks
+21
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles SparksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Sparks

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Minnesota Lynx

  • Courtney Williams GOut
  • Liatu King FOut
  • Elena Buenavida GOut
  • Napheesa Collier FOut
Availability updated Aug 22, 1:44AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kayla McBride MIN Points (Alt)
Olivia Miles MIN Assists
Olivia Miles MIN Assists (Alt)
Olivia Miles MIN Points
Kayla McBride MIN Pts+Ast

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Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx — recent results

Minnesota Lynx have won 5 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Sparks have won 1 of their last 5.

Minnesota Lynx — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W94–84WSHAway
W77–66GSAway
W92–87LVAway
W85–81PORAway
W103–90DALHome
Los Angeles Sparks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W77–68CONHome
L88–124ATLHome
L77–85CONAway
L70–80WSHAway
L81–85NYAway

Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Minnesota Lynx won 2, Los Angeles Sparks won 1.

DateMinnesota LynxLos Angeles SparksWinner
Aug 78289Los Angeles Sparks
Jul 159687Minnesota Lynx
Jun 189983Minnesota Lynx

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Lynx
PlayerStatus
Courtney Williams GOUT
Liatu King FOUT
Elena Buenavida GOUT
Napheesa Collier FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx — model preview

Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks, 7 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 205.5 Total Points. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Friday 7 August 2026, Minnesota Lynx play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 205.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 205.5 Total Points (-769)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Lynx play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Friday 7 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Under 205.5 Total Points. That is a total points bet. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. It is on at Target Center in Minnesota. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
61
Total Picks
88.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
07 Aug 26 Total Points Under 176.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx -2.5 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 177.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 178.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 179.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx -1.5 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 181.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 180.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 182.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx -0.5 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +0.5 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 183.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +5.5 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +1.5 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 184.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sparks vs Lynx, or as Lynx vs Sparks. The most recent game between them was Friday 7 August 2026 at Target Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 88.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Minnesota Lynx 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
7 Aug 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx82–89Los Angeles Sparks
15 Jul 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx96–87Minnesota Lynx
18 Jun 2026Minnesota Lynx @ Los Angeles Sparks83–99Minnesota Lynx
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