On Friday 25 September 2026, Los Angeles Sparks play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 158.5 Total Points, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
The Los Angeles Sparks have picked up their game lately, winning 4 out of their last 6 matches and scoring an impressive average of 85.7 points in their last 20 games. Meanwhile, the Golden State Valkyries are on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring 82.3 points per game this season. With both teams showing strong offensive play, betting on the total points to go over 158.5 seems smart. The Sparks play at home, and their recent scoring means they can contribute a lot to the total. The Valkyries, with their winning streak, also know how to put points on the board. The biggest risk is the close competition, as both teams are evenly matched in their recent performances. Still, the numbers suggest a good chance for a high-scoring game. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Los Angeles Sparks +12.5 on the Line (-141)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries are rolling with six wins in a row, but the Los Angeles Sparks have been strong lately too, winning four of their last six games. The Sparks are scoring nearly 86 points a game over their last 20, so they can put up a fight. With the Sparks getting 12.5 points, it's a safe bet they can keep things close. The main risk is that the Valkyries have been winning most of their games, but the Sparks will be playing at home, which gives them a boost. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Nneka Ogwumike Under 17.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The Sparks and Valkyries are set to face off at Crypto.com Arena, and it's a battle of two teams with different recent trends. Nneka Ogwumike has been solid, but the Sparks have struggled a bit, winning only 4 of their last 10 games. In contrast, the Valkyries have been on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring an impressive 82.3 points a game. This makes it tough for the Sparks to keep up defensively.
Nneka has scored well lately, but the Valkyries are known for their strong defense, which could limit her chances. While the odds are in our favor for her points to stay under 17.5, Golden State's recent form makes it a close call. If the Valkyries control the game, Nneka might not get the looks she needs. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 2.5 Assists (-112)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been a solid player for the Sparks, but in recent games, her assists have been on the lower side. The Sparks have won 4 of their last 6 games, but they're still finding their rhythm. With the Valkyries winning their last 6 and scoring well, it could be tough for Williams to rack up assists in this matchup. The bet on Gabby Williams getting under 2.5 assists seems reasonable because the Valkyries play strong defense, making it hard for her to find open teammates. This game could be close, and with both teams fighting hard, it's possible Williams might not have the opportunities needed to hit that number. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Cecilia Zandalasini Over 9.5 Points (-127)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Cecilia Zandalasini has been in good form lately, and she's part of a Sparks team that's scored over 85 points a game in recent outings. The Valkyries are also on fire, winning six games in a row and scoring a solid 82 points a game. With Zandalasini needing just over 9 points, there's a good chance she can reach that mark, especially given how both teams are playing. However, it's worth noting that the Valkyries have been tough on defense lately, which could make things challenging for her. It was priced at -127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Los Angeles Sparks v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.