Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Napheesa Collier is Under 26.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 6:34PM UTC
WNBA

Napheesa Collier

WNBA

Value call

Napheesa Collier has one live pick today: Pts+Reb Under 26.5 that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb Under 26.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty
Barclays Center, New York · Indoor
Wed 30 Sep, 12:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,470 of 3,297 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
21.8 Pts+Reb
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.6% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +22.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Reb75.6%—52.9%2.02+22.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/6

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx: Napheesa Collier Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

For this game, we need Napheesa Collier to score fewer than 27 points and rebounds combined. This seems likely because she has been scoring about 14.7 points at night over her last ten games, and her total for points plus assists is also lower than 27. The New York Liberty have a tough defense that can make it hard for her to rack up big numbers. While Collier performs well during the day, she's been less effective at night. The Liberty have also faced some strong teams lately, which means they know how to challenge players like her. So, while Collier is a talented player, she might struggle to hit that mark tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (25 picks) 100.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many points does Napheesa Collier average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Pts+Reb 26.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Pts+Ast 21.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Pts+Reb+Ast 29.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Reb+Ast — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Pts+Reb — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Rebounds — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Napheesa Collier is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 100.0% on tracked Napheesa Collier picks. The latest model pick for Napheesa Collier is Under 26.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty on Wednesday 30 September at Barclays Center, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.