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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rae Burrell is Under 1.5 on player_threes.
On the player_threes market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:13AM UTC
WNBA

Rae Burrell

WNBA

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
player_threes Under 1.5 -161 (1.62)
+3.1% Edge
Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles · Indoor
Wed 22 Jul, 7:00PM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
64.8%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
1.2 player_threes

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
player_threes64.8%61.7%1.72+3.1%

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AI Analysis

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Rae Burrell Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-161)

Odds available at betonlineag at time of publishing

As the Sparks gear up to host the Mercury at Crypto.com Arena, all eyes should be on Rae Burrell’s three-point shooting. While her talent is undeniable, the matchup presents challenges that could keep her from hitting that 1.5 mark. The Mercury defense has been particularly adept at closing out on shooters, limiting open looks from beyond the arc. Moreover, Burrell’s recent form shows a dip in volume and confidence, as she’s been primarily focused on driving to the basket rather than spotting up for threes. With the Sparks looking to exploit the interior against Phoenix’s thinner frontline, we can expect Burrell to adapt her game plan accordingly. This context, paired with our projection of around 1.2 made threes, strongly suggests that going under 1.5 is the smart move here. The numbers tell a story of caution, and tonight, it seems Burrell might just play it safe from deep.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rae Burrell is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rae Burrell is Under 1.5 on player_threes. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks on Wednesday 22 July at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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