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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ariel Atkins is Under 11.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 66%, implied 55%, edge +11.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:26PM UTC
WNBA

Ariel Atkins

WNBA

+11.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb Under 11.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+11.5% Edge
Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle · Indoor
Sun 30 Aug, 9:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 946 of 1,282 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
10.0 Pts+Reb
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 66.2% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +11.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Reb66.2%—54.6%1.97+11.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks: Ariel Atkins Under 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ariel Atkins needs to score fewer than 12 points and rebounds combined tonight for this bet to win. The Los Angeles Sparks have been struggling recently, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. Atkins has been up and down, with her field goals made ranging from none to just three in her last ten games. On top of that, the Sparks allow a lot of rebounds, which could mean fewer chances for Atkins to contribute. Seattle will be at home, giving them a boost, and they can take advantage of the Sparks' weak defense. While the Sparks are known for letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, Atkins hasn't been lighting up the scoreboard lately, so it's a reasonable pick to go under 11.5 points plus rebounds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (24 picks) 66.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many points does Ariel Atkins average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Points 7.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Pts+Ast 9.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Pts+Reb+Ast 12.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Reb+Ast — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Reb+Ast — — — Pending
25 Aug 26 Atlanta Dream @ Los Angeles Sparks Pts+Reb — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ariel Atkins is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked Ariel Atkins picks. The latest model pick for Ariel Atkins is Under 11.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm on Sunday 30 August at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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