Ariel Atkins has one live pick today: over 0.5 threes that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
70 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 70.0% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +7.5%.
Latest Model PickFree
Portland Fire
@
Los Angeles Sparks
Ariel Atkins
over 0.5 threes
3-Pointers
Over 0.5
-167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$16.00
Odds-167
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ariel Atkins is Over 0.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:43PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| 3-Pointers | 70.0% | — | 62.5% | 1.72 | +7.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Ariel Atkins Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-167)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing Los Angeles Sparks play Portland Fire in the WNBA on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ariel Atkins Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made. That is a player three-pointers made bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.00 if it lands. The game is at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Our model expects Ariel Atkins to finish with about 1.3 three-pointers made. The line for this one is 0.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (33 picks)
66.7%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Ariel Atkins is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked Ariel Atkins picks. The latest model pick for Ariel Atkins is Over 0.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday 20 September at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.