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Model picks & player props
Las Vegas Aces
VS
Minnesota Lynx

Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 27, 10:23AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Target Center, Minnesota
Indoor
Sat 8 Aug 2026, 5:05PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
94.3%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 191.5 Alt Total Points -286

The model graded 70 markets for Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $135 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 94.3% across 53 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 8 Aug 2026, 5:05PM at Target Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win89.3%
The price says66.7%
Best price-286
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 191.5 High89% chance -286
Alt Total Points High86% chance
Alt Spread Lean57% chance
Alt Total Points High87% chance
Alt Total Points High90% chance
Alt Spread High60% chance
Alt Total Points High88% chance
Alt Total Points High91% chance
Spread High63% chance
Points (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 83%
Rebounds × 5 props Highup to 80%
Pts+Ast (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 83%
Rebounds (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 80%
3-Pointers × 3 props Highup to 81%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 191.5 · $100 returned $136

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,510 of 2,027 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 27
Under 176
Toronto Tempo @ Seattle Storm
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $205
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
188.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas AcesAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas AcesAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas AcesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas AcesAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas AcesAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Las Vegas Aces

  • NaLyssa Smith FOut
  • Dana Evans GOut

Minnesota Lynx

  • Antonia Delaere FOut
  • Dorka Juhasz FOut
  • Elena Buenavida GOut
  • Liatu King FOut
  • Courtney Williams GOut
Availability updated Aug 25, 4:18PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kayla McBride MIN Points (Alt)
Jackie Young LV Rebounds
Kayla McBride MIN Pts+Ast (Alt)
A'ja Wilson LV Rebounds (Alt)
Kayla McBride MIN 3-Pointers

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Las Vegas Aces @ Minnesota Lynx — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Las Vegas Aces at Minnesota Lynx — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx — recent results

Minnesota Lynx have won 4 of their last 5 games; Las Vegas Aces have won 3 of their last 5.

Minnesota Lynx — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L66–80GSHome
W94–84WSHAway
W77–66GSAway
W92–87LVAway
W85–81PORAway
Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W88–78TORAway
W101–78CONHome
L82–97ATLHome
L87–92MINHome
W83–76WSHHome

Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Minnesota Lynx won 2, Las Vegas Aces won 1.

DateMinnesota LynxLas Vegas AcesWinner
Aug 169287Minnesota Lynx
Aug 89887Minnesota Lynx
Jun 1497100Las Vegas Aces

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Lynx
PlayerStatus
Antonia Delaere FOUT
Dorka Juhasz FOUT
Elena Buenavida GOUT
Liatu King FOUT
Courtney Williams GOUT
Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
NaLyssa Smith FOUT
Dana Evans GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Las Vegas Aces @ Minnesota Lynx — model preview

Minnesota Lynx v Las Vegas Aces, 9 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 200.5 Total Points. Our model likes 6 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Sunday 9 August 2026, Minnesota Lynx play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 200.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 200.5 Total Points (-769)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As the Minnesota Lynx prepare to face the high-octane Las Vegas Aces at the Target Center, the stage is set for an intriguing clash. While the Aces are known for their explosive offense, the Lynx have been dialing up their defensive intensity lately, often smothering opponents and pushing games into lower-scoring affairs. Consider the pace of play; the Aces might like to run, but the Lynx are adept at slowing things down when they need to. With both teams having a knack for tightening the screws on defense, I see this total hovering well below 200.5 points. Our model suggests a combined score closer to 166.8, highlighting how these contrasting styles could lead to a grueling battle where every possession counts. Expect a game where defense reigns supreme and the scoreboard doesn't light up as brightly as one might anticipate. Betting the under feels like the smart play here. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
53
Total Picks
94.3%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
08 Aug 26 Alt Spread Las Vegas Aces +9.5 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Spread Las Vegas Aces +10.5 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Alt Spread Las Vegas Aces +11.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Spread Las Vegas Aces +12.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 188.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 191.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 189.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 190.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 192.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 193.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 194.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 195.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 196.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Alt Spread Las Vegas Aces +8.5 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx -3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Aces vs Lynx, or as Lynx vs Aces. The most recent game between them was Saturday 8 August 2026 at Target Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 94.3% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Minnesota Lynx 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces87–92Minnesota Lynx
8 Aug 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Minnesota Lynx98–87Minnesota Lynx
14 Jun 2026Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces100–97Las Vegas Aces
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