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Model picks & player props
Golden State Valkyries
VS
Indiana Fever

Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 23, 3:24PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana
Indoor
Thu 16 Jul 2026, 12:10AM
13
Game markets graded
24
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 169.5 Total Points -105

The model graded 37 markets for Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 16 Jul 2026, 12:10AM at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.8%
The price says49.0%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 169.5 Lean58% chance -105
Total Points Lean59% chance —
Spread Lean57% chance —
Total Points Lean57% chance —
Total Points Lean56% chance —
Pts+Reb+Ast × 4 props Highup to 77% —
Points × 8 props Highup to 75% —
Assists × 4 props Highup to 78% —
3-Pointers × 2 props Highup to 73% —
Rebounds × 6 props Highup to 66% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every WNBA game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 169.5 · $100 returned $191

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 725 of 958 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 22
Portland Fire 3.5
Portland Fire @ Toronto Tempo
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
170
-110
+ 12 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State ValkyriesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Valkyries

  • Iliana Rupert COut

Indiana Fever

  • Michelle Onyiah COut
Availability updated Aug 22, 10:29PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Iliana Rupert and Michelle Onyiah.
FactorThis fixture
Availability2 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Veronica Burton GS Pts+Reb+Ast
Veronica Burton GS Points
Janelle Salaun GS Pts+Reb+Ast
Kelsey Mitchell IND Assists
Kayla Thornton GS Points

+ 24 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Golden State Valkyries @ Indiana Fever — what the model found

Our model graded 37 betting markets for Golden State Valkyries at Indiana Fever — 13 on the game itself and 24 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Game markets graded
24
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 37 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 36 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever — recent results

Indiana Fever have won 3 of their last 5 games; Golden State Valkyries have won 3 of their last 5.

Indiana Fever — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L102–109NYAway
L85–91DALAway
W101–95TORAway
W95–91ATLAway
W98–87DALHome
Golden State Valkyries — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L70–73CHIAway
L66–77MINHome
W78–70DALHome
W91–71CHIHome
W84–78LAAway

Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Indiana Fever won 1, Golden State Valkyries won 2.

DateIndiana FeverGolden State ValkyriesWinner
Jul 167588Golden State Valkyries
May 298890Golden State Valkyries
May 229082Indiana Fever

Who’s out or in doubt

2 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Indiana Fever
PlayerStatus
Michelle Onyiah COUT
Golden State Valkyries
PlayerStatus
Iliana Rupert COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Jul 26 Total Points Under 169 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 Spread Golden State Valkyries +3 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 Total Points Under 168.5 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 Total Points Under 169.5 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 Total Points Under 170 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Valkyries vs Fever, or as Fever vs Valkyries. The most recent game between them was Thursday 16 July 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The model has generated 13 game picks and 24 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Golden State Valkyries 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Jul 2026Golden State Valkyries @ Indiana Fever75–88Golden State Valkyries
29 May 2026Indiana Fever @ Golden State Valkyries90–88Golden State Valkyries
22 May 2026Golden State Valkyries @ Indiana Fever90–82Indiana Fever
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