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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kayla Thornton is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +21.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:45PM UTC
WNBA

Kayla Thornton

WNBA

+21.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb Under 16.5 -145 (1.69) · $100→$169
+21.4% Edge
Golden State Valkyries @ Los Angeles Sparks
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 11:04PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.6%
Implied Probability
59.2%
Model Edge
+21.4%
Predicted Value
11.8 Pts+Reb

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Reb80.6%59.2%1.82+21.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Kayla Thornton Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds Combined (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Sparks play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kayla Thornton Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds Combined. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. The game is at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Our model expects Kayla Thornton to finish with about 11.8 points and rebounds combined. The line for this one is 16.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Pts+Ast 13.5 Under -145 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Points 9.5 Under +105 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Reb+Ast 5.5 Under -109 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Rebounds Pending
08 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Pts+Reb+Ast Pending
08 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Pts+Reb Pending

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About This Player

Kayla Thornton is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kayla Thornton is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Valkyries vs Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday 9 August at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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