Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kelsey Mitchell is Under 25.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +10.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
WNBA
Kelsey Mitchell
WNBA
Latest Model Pick
Points
Under 25.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+10.0% Edge
New York Liberty
@
Indiana Fever
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana · Indoor
Tue 11 Aug, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
No injury designation
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Implied Probability
53.2%
Predicted Value
23.9 Points
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 63.2% | — | 53.2% | 2.02 | +10.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 5/5 |
| Last 10 games | 10/10 |
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Kelsey Mitchell Under 25.5 Points (-114)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Indiana Fever play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kelsey Mitchell Under 25.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The game is at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. Our model expects Kelsey Mitchell to finish with about 23.9 points. The line for this one is 25.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (31 picks)
71.0%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Kelsey Mitchell is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 71.0% on tracked Kelsey Mitchell picks. The latest model pick for Kelsey Mitchell is Under 25.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever on Tuesday 11 August at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.