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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kelsey Mitchell is Over 2.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 62%, implied 45%, edge +17.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:36PM UTC
WNBA

Kelsey Mitchell

WNBA

+17.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Over 2.5 +122 (2.22) · $100→$222
+17.1% Edge
Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana · Indoor
Fri 28 Aug, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
3.0 Assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.1% · the book's price implies 45.0% · gap +17.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists62.1%45.0%2.37+17.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun: Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 Assists (+129)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

For Kelsey Mitchell to get over 2.5 assists tonight, she needs to find her teammates open and get them the ball. The Connecticut Sun have had some struggles lately, winning just 3 of their last 10 games. They also allow a fair number of three-point shots, which means Mitchell might have good chances to set up her teammates for easy baskets. Mitchell has been doing well in creating plays, and with the Sun giving up a decent number of rebounds, there could be plenty of opportunities for her to dish out assists. The main risk is that the game could be close, and if the Fever end up playing a slower pace, that could limit Mitchell's chances. Still, the way things are shaping up, I like her chances to exceed that assists total tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever Assists 2.5 Over +122 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever Assists (Alt) 1.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever Assists (Alt) 2.5 Over +115 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever Points Pending
28 Aug 26 Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever Points Pending
28 Aug 26 Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever Pts+Ast Pending

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About This Player

Kelsey Mitchell is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kelsey Mitchell is Over 2.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever on Friday 28 August at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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