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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aliyah Boston is Under 2.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 44%, for a model edge of +21.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:42PM UTC
WNBA

Aliyah Boston

WNBA

+21.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 2.5 +128 (2.28) · $100→$228
+21.5% Edge
New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana · Indoor
Tue 11 Aug, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
65.4%
Implied Probability
43.9%
Model Edge
+21.5%
Predicted Value
2.1 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists65.4%43.9%2.44+21.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Aliyah Boston Under 2.5 Assists (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Indiana Fever play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Aliyah Boston Under 2.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at +128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.80 if it lands. The game is at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. Our model expects Aliyah Boston to finish with about 2.1 assists. The line for this one is 2.5. Our number sits below that line. This one is priced as an outside chance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
Overall Hit Rate (25 picks) 56.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky Assists 2.5 Under +178 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky 3-Pointers 0.5 Under +173 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky Points 15.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky Assists Pending
06 Aug 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever Assists Pending
06 Aug 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever 3-Pointers Pending

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About This Player

Aliyah Boston is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 56.0% on tracked Aliyah Boston picks. The latest model pick for Aliyah Boston is Under 2.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever on Tuesday 11 August at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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