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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for DeWanna Bonner is Over 10.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +18.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:43PM UTC
WNBA

DeWanna Bonner

WNBA

+18.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 10.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
+18.4% Edge
Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics
CareFirst Arena, Washington · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 7:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
68.4%
Implied Probability
50.0%
Model Edge
+18.4%
Predicted Value
13.5 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points68.4%50.0%1.46+18.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 Points (+100)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The game is at CareFirst Arena in Washington. Our model expects DeWanna Bonner to finish with about 13.5 points. The line for this one is 10.5. Our number sits above that line. This one is priced as an outside chance.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points 10.5 Over +100 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points (Alt) 8.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points (Alt) 9.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points (Alt) Pending
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points (Alt) Pending
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points (Alt) Pending

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About This Player

DeWanna Bonner is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for DeWanna Bonner is Over 10.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics on Sunday 9 August at CareFirst Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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