Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for DeWanna Bonner is Over 10.5 on Points (Alt).
On Points (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 55%, edge +4.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:40PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Points (Alt)
Over 10.5
-122 (1.82) · $100→$182
+4.6% Edge
Washington Mystics
@
Phoenix Mercury
PHX Arena, Phoenix · Indoor
Wed 26 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 946 of 1,282 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
12.4 Points (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 59.6% · the book's price implies 54.9% · gap +4.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points (Alt) | 59.6% | — | 54.9% | 1.68 | +4.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 Points (-122)
Odds available at betonlineag at time of publishing Phoenix Mercury play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Wednesday 26 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. The game is at PHX Arena in Phoenix. Our model expects DeWanna Bonner to finish with about 12.4 points. The line for this one is 10.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (22 picks)
100.0%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DeWanna Bonner is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 100.0% on tracked DeWanna Bonner picks. The latest model pick for DeWanna Bonner is Over 10.5 on Points (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury on Wednesday 26 August at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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