Here are the 6 WNBA player props our model likes most for September 16, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
Tonight,
Aliyah Boston needs to record fewer than 4 assists for this bet to hit. The numbers show she's been averaging quite low in this area recently, with only about 2 assists in recent games. Plus, she's been making fewer three-point shots and getting fewer offensive rebounds, which usually means fewer chances to set up her teammates. The biggest risk here is that Boston might have a surprising game or get more playtime than expected. Still, given her recent trend of only about half a steal per game and the way Toronto has been playing defense, it seems likely she will stay under that 3.5 assists mark. Let's see if she can keep it going!
Kelsey Mitchell needs to make fewer than four three-pointers tonight for this bet to win. She has been a bit off lately, with her recent games showing a drop in scoring, and the numbers suggest she's not hitting her usual mark. The
Toronto Tempo have been tough on defense, making it hard for opponents to get open shots. With Mitchell's recent struggle to find her rhythm and the Tempo's solid defensive play, there's a good chance she falls short. The biggest risk is how close her scoring can be, especially if she finds a moment of hot shooting.
Dominique Malonga has been getting into a nice rhythm lately, and she's shown some solid scoring form. In her recent games, she's been making more free throws than usual and grabbing a good number of steals and blocks, which shows her all-around effort. Plus, she's playing at home in Climate Pledge Arena, where the fans can really lift the team's spirit. For this matchup against the
Las Vegas Aces, I think Malonga has a good chance to make at least one three-pointer. The Aces are a strong team, but that means they could be focused on other players, giving Malonga an opening. The biggest risk here is that both teams are pretty close in talent, so it could go either way. But overall, I like the bet on her making over 0.5 three-pointers. The odds for Caitlin Clark's rebounds are set at under 4.5, which looks good based on our numbers. Recently, she hasn't been grabbing too many offensive rebounds, averaging none in her last five games. Also, her overall performance has been solid, but her recent stats suggest she may not hit that mark today. The biggest risk is that the game could be close, which might lead to more opportunities for rebounds. However, with her recent average of 3.8 three-point shots made and not many offensive rebounds, it feels like a reasonable pick. Kelsey Mitchell has been really active lately, showing a strong scoring touch and solid playmaking. In her recent games, she's been racking up good numbers, making it likely that she'll grab at least five rebounds and assists combined against the Toronto Tempo. With the way she's been playing, our numbers suggest she has a good chance of hitting this mark. The only worry here is that both teams are closely matched, which might make it tougher for her to stand out. Still, with her current form and the opportunity to shine, betting on Mitchell to go over 4.5 rebounds and assists seems like a smart pick. Kelsey Mitchell has been showing some great playmaking lately, averaging over 5 assists in her recent games. This is well above the usual mark for her, and it looks like she's finding her teammates in the right spots to score. The Toronto Tempo's defense has been a bit shaky, which could give her plenty of chances to dish out assists. While the
Indiana Fever has been improving, they still face a tough matchup against the Tempo. The potential risk here is that the game could be closer than expected, limiting scoring opportunities. Still, we feel good about Kelsey Mitchell going over 2.5 assists in this game.