Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes should be on Ace Bailey. While he's been a key contributor, the numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that elusive 30.5 combined points and rebounds mark. With an expected stat value hovering around 21, Bailey's recent performances tell a compelling story-he's gone under this total in 80% of his last 20 games. And when playing at home? That hit rate remains unchanged, indicating a trend that's hard to overlook. Facing the Wizards, who tend to focus on perimeter defense, Bailey might find his opportunities limited. This matchup could see him either forced into tough shots or sharing the ball more than usual. With an implied probability of 51.8% for this line, it feels like a smart call to take the Under on Bailey. Trust in the trends-he's likely to fall short tonight.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 24.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

With Ace Bailey stepping onto the court for the Utah Jazz at home against the Washington Wizards, the expectation for his scoring seems high, but there's a compelling case to target the under on his points line set at 24.5. Over his last 20 games, Bailey has consistently underperformed this mark, hitting the under a striking 80% of the time. His recent home performance mirrors this trend, where he's only eclipsed 24.5 points in a fraction of those outings. Additionally, the Wizards have shown a knack for tightening defensive schemes, particularly against high-scoring threats. With an expected stat value around 17.32, Bailey's recent form suggests he might struggle to keep pace, making the under a sharp play. As the Jazz aim for a balanced offensive attack, it's a smart move to anticipate a quieter night for Bailey while cashing in on the under.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to host the Washington Wizards, targeting Cody Williams for under 22.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a savvy play. Recent trends tell a compelling story: Williams has averaged just 12.6 points and 1.8 rebounds at home over his last five outings. When facing the Wizards, his averages dip even more, with just 2 points and a mere 1 rebound at home. If we zoom out, Williams has hit this under in 19 of his last 20 home games, showcasing a pattern that's hard to ignore. With an expected stat value of just 16.84, it seems the odds are particularly stacked against him. Factor in the Jazz's defensive intensity and the way they'll likely contain him, and the under on Williams becomes not just tempting, but a solid bet for Thursday night.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro