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Model picks & player props
Aston Villa
VS
Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 26, 7:01PM UTC

Our model graded 21 markets for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur and backs Aston Villa 1 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $142.

Soccer
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:30AM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
74.1%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Aston Villa 1 Spread -238

The model graded 21 markets for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $142 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 74.1% across 27 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:30AM at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win74.9%
The price says66.2%
Best price-238
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Aston Villa 1 High75% chance -238
Spread Members only High72% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Lean49% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High75% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean54% chance Members
Assists × 1 prop Long-shotup to 7% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur last met on Sat 19 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Aston Villa 1 · $100 returned $142

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 96 of 198 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 24
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Aston Villa
+1.5
-588
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 58,104+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Tottenham Hotspur

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Southampton Assists

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GoalsAston Villa @ Tottenham HotspurNo line posted

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 47% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
27
Total Picks
74.1%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Sep 26 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Spread Aston Villa +1.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Spread Aston Villa +0.25 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Spread Aston Villa +0.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Aston Villa ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Moneyline Draw ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Spread Aston Villa +0.75 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Draw No Bet Aston Villa ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Moneyline Aston Villa ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Spread Aston Villa +3.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Spread Aston Villa +2.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Total Goals Under 4.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Villa vs Hotspur, or as Hotspur vs Villa. The most recent game between them was Saturday 19 September 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 74.1% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 33 meetings on record
Tottenham Hotspur 19–10 across the last 33 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 3.1 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Sep 2026Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur2–3Aston Villa
3 May 2026Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa1–2Tottenham Hotspur
19 Oct 2025Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur1–2Aston Villa
16 May 2025Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa2–0Aston Villa
3 Nov 2024Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur4–1Tottenham Hotspur
10 Mar 2024Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa0–4Tottenham Hotspur
26 Nov 2023Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur1–2Aston Villa
13 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa2–1Aston Villa
1 Jan 2023Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur0–2Aston Villa
9 Apr 2022Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa0–4Tottenham Hotspur

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 33 meetings on file.

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