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Model picks & player props
Aston Villa
VS
Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 11:42AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:30AM
16
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Aston Villa Draw No Bet +114

The model graded 16 markets for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $214 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:30AM at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.9%
The price says45.0%
Best price+114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Aston Villa Lean49% chance +114
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot35% chance
Moneyline Long-shot35% chance
Total Goals High75% chance
Spread High92% chance
Total Goals Lean49% chance
Spread High80% chance
Total Goals Long-shot29% chance
Both Teams to Score Lean54% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Tottenham Hotspur are the model's favourite to beat Aston Villa, with a 60% chance to win. Kick-off Sat 19 Sep, 11:30AM at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Best bet: Aston Villa at +114.
How they've been scoring this season
Aston VillaTottenham Hotspur
Won-lost0-2-10-2-1
Goals scored per game0.00.0
Goals allowed per game1.71.7
On the road / at home0-1-1 away0-1-0 at home
Last 5 gamesLLDLLD
Their games average 1.7 total goals this season.
From the 3 Aston Villa and 3 Tottenham Hotspur games on our books this season.
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
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Our call on this game: 3 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa
+ 15 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tottenham HotspurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Tottenham Hotspur

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur — 16 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Villa vs Hotspur, or as Hotspur vs Villa. The next scheduled game is Saturday 19 September 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The model has generated 16 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 32 meetings on record
Tottenham Hotspur 19–9 across the last 32 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 3.0 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 May 2026Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa1–2Tottenham Hotspur
19 Oct 2025Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur1–2Aston Villa
16 May 2025Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa2–0Aston Villa
3 Nov 2024Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur4–1Tottenham Hotspur
10 Mar 2024Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa0–4Tottenham Hotspur
26 Nov 2023Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur1–2Aston Villa
13 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa2–1Aston Villa
1 Jan 2023Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur0–2Aston Villa
9 Apr 2022Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa0–4Tottenham Hotspur
3 Oct 2021Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur2–1Tottenham Hotspur

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 32 meetings on file.

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