San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction & Picks (Landry Shamet Key Factor): Winning Game Angles

In this Sunday's matchup, we're putting our chips on Jose Alvarado to go Over 9.5 points and rebounds against the Spurs. While his recent stats may seem modest, there's a silver lining in his performance against the Knicks. Historically, Alvarado has averaged 6 points and 3 rebounds when facing them away, hinting at a potential uptick in production. Yes, he's had some ups and downs lately, hitting the mark in just half of his last four outings. However, with the Knicks' defense allowing a bit more breathing room, especially to guards, I'm feeling confident that Alvarado can tap into his scoring ability. His away performance, where he's averaged 4.4 points and 2 rebounds, suggests he's just a step away from breaking through. This could be the game where he finds his groove, making the Over on 9.5 a compelling choice.

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-208)

Keldon Johnson is primed for a standout performance as the Spurs host the Knicks. With an impressive home hit rate-17 out of the last 20 games-he thrives in front of the San Antonio crowd. In his recent outings, Johnson has averaged 5.2 points and 2.6 rebounds, but against the Knicks, those numbers jump. Historically, he's scored nearly 10 points per game at home against them, showcasing his knack for rising to the occasion. What's more, when you consider his average of 5.4 rebounds against New York at home, it's clear he's not just a scorer. The expected stat value sits comfortably at 14.68, well above our target of 7.5. Given his combination of form and favorable matchup, betting on Johnson to go Over 7.5 points plus rebounds feels like a savvy play. Expect him to shine in this one!

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

When it comes to Mitchell Robinson, there's more than meets the eye, especially against the Spurs. While he's averaged just under 5 points and 5.6 rebounds in his last five away games, recent performances tell a different story. In his last three away outings, he's hit the Over on this line every single time. What's particularly intriguing is his rebounding prowess against San Antonio-he's averaging a solid 7.6 boards in those matchups, which bodes well for his overall contributions. With an expected stat value nudging toward 12, it feels like Robinson is poised for a breakout. Plus, he's delivered an impressive 8 out of 10 in his last ten games for this combined stat. With the Spurs struggling to contain big men, Robinson could easily surpass that 7.5 mark, making this a savvy play as the Knicks look to gain momentum on the road.

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-244)

De'Aaron Fox is primed to shine at home against the New York Knicks, making the Over on his combined points and rebounds total of 15.5 a compelling wager. Looking at his last 14 home games, Fox has hit this mark 11 times, showcasing his ability to elevate his game in familiar surroundings. He's averaged a respectable 19.2 points against the Knicks at home, and while his recent overall scoring has been a touch lower at 14.4, the trend shifts favorably when playing in front of the home crowd. Moreover, his expected stat value of 23.61 indicates a strong potential for a breakout performance. With the Knicks' defense struggling to contain dynamic guards, Fox is in a prime position to exploit matchups. Given these numbers, placing a bet on him to go Over 15.5 points and rebounds feels not just feasible, but highly probable.

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks : San Antonio Spurs win (-196)

When you take a good hard look at this match-up between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks, it's clear that the Spurs are playing with a home court advantage and a track record that outshines the Knicks. Our models predict the Spurs with a commanding 0.75 probability of winning. This isn't some shot in the dark either, this prediction factors in their impressive performances and statistics that have consistently outpaced the Knicks this season. The Spurs have been delivering show-stopping performances, especially at home, which has resulted in a strong winning record. The Knicks, on the other hand, have had a tougher road. Their performance has been a mixed bag, particularly on the road, which has resulted in a less than stellar record. All things considered, the data points towards the Spurs as the solid bet here.