Thatcher Demko (Vancouver Canucks) Over 22.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking at Thatcher Demko's performance in his last five away games, he averages 23.8 saves per game, which is higher than the proposed line of 22.5 saves. His current away games hit streak is 12, meaning he consistently demonstrates a high save rate. Despite facing an average of 25.8 shots per game, his average goals against is only 2, indicating strong defensive performance. The model prediction for this bet is 24.5, further suggesting Demko's likelihood to exceed the set line. While his overall save average is lower at 17.6, this is likely due to stronger defensive performances at home, which is less relevant in an away game context. In summary, Demko's strong recent performance in away games, his high save averages, and the model's prediction all suggest that betting over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is a statistically sound choice.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Vancouver Canucks : Vancouver Canucks +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Vancouver Canucks have been performing well recently, with a 5-0 record in their last 5 away games, compared to the Philadelphia Flyers' 1-4 record in their last 5 home games. This suggests that the Canucks have the upper hand when playing away. Moreover, the Canucks have an overall better record of 4-1 in their last 5 games, versus the Flyers' 2-3 record. This indicates a stronger overall performance from the Canucks. Additionally, their Goals Against Average is lower than the Flyers', indicating a stronger defensive performance. Lastly, the Canucks have a positive record against the Flyers in their last 5 encounters (3-2). These factors, combined with the model's prediction, suggest that the Canucks are likely to cover a 1.5 goal spread in the upcoming game, making a bet on the Vancouver Canucks 1.5 a statistically sound choice.

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