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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Zegras is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 66%, edge +7.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 8:27PM UTC
NHL

Trevor Zegras

Philadelphia Flyers

+7.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -192 (1.52) · $100→$152
+7.9% Edge
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, FUT · Indoor
Tue 2 Dec, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
2.9 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.7% · the book's price implies 65.8% · gap +7.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal73.7%65.8%1.36+7.9%

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Zegras for Over 1.5 on the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is fueled by Zegras' strong recent performance and the model's prediction. Zegras' L5 average for shots on goal is 2.2 at home and 3 overall, which is above the bet line of 1.5. This indicates that Zegras is consistently achieving more than 1.5 shots on goal per game. Moreover, his hit rate in the last six home games is 5/6, and he is currently on a three-game hit streak overall. These trends further underscore Zegras' ability to exceed the bet line. The model prediction of 2.87, albeit with a standard deviation of 1.37, shows that the model also expects Zegras to register more than 1.5 shots on goal, reinforcing the rationale for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Trevor Zegras has 4 goals and 6 assists (10 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
13 Apr 26vs CAR1014221:32
11 Apr 26@ WPG0000016:12
9 Apr 26@ DET0111319:17
7 Apr 26@ NJD2132013:50
5 Apr 26vs BOS0112019:00
3 Apr 26@ NYI0000011:03
2 Apr 26vs DET0112320:00
31 Mar 26@ WSH0110117:46
29 Mar 26vs DAL1012120:17
28 Mar 26@ DET0110018:12
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Zegras is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday 2 December at Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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