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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Zegras is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 66%, for a model edge of +7.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NHL

Trevor Zegras

Philadelphia Flyers

+7.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -192 (1.52)
+7.9% Edge
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, FUT · Indoor
Tue 2 Dec, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.7%
Implied Probability
65.8%
Model Edge
+7.9%
Predicted Value
2.9 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal73.7%—65.8%1.36+7.9%

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Zegras for Over 1.5 on the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is fueled by Zegras' strong recent performance and the model's prediction. Zegras' L5 average for shots on goal is 2.2 at home and 3 overall, which is above the bet line of 1.5. This indicates that Zegras is consistently achieving more than 1.5 shots on goal per game. Moreover, his hit rate in the last six home games is 5/6, and he is currently on a three-game hit streak overall. These trends further underscore Zegras' ability to exceed the bet line. The model prediction of 2.87, albeit with a standard deviation of 1.37, shows that the model also expects Zegras to register more than 1.5 shots on goal, reinforcing the rationale for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Shots on GoalModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
2.9projected shots (model)
Line1.5Model proj2.9Last oppPITListed2

Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) NHL Shots on Goal: BetBetter's model projects 2.9 shots against a market line of 1.5 vs PIT. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Zegras is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday 2 December at Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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