On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers play Newcastle Knights in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 41.5 Total Points, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 41.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 41.5 points between them. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Penrith Panthers -10.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at TAB at time of publishing
On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Penrith Panthers -10.5 Line. On this line Penrith Panthers give up 10.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 10.5. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Lachlan Crouch to Score a Try (+2500)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Lachlan Crouch Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lachlan Crouch scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Francis Manuleleua Over 1.5 Tries (+5000)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Francis Manuleleua Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Francis Manuleleua scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Penrith Panthers v Newcastle Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.