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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dane Gagai is Yes on Try Scorer Last.
On Try Scorer Last, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 27, 12:14PM UTC
NRL

Dane Gagai

NRL

Value call

Dane Gagai has one live pick today: Try Scorer Last Yes that pays $2,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Try Scorer Last Yes +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
Value call
Newcastle Knights @ Sydney Roosters
Sun 4 Oct, 8:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.9% · the book's price implies 3.8% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Try Scorer Last3.9%—3.8%25.45+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights: Dane Gagai Last Try Scorer (+2500)

Odds available at TAB at time of publishing

On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dane Gagai Last Try Scorer. This wins if Dane Gagai scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Dane Gagai's lines for Sun 4 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Try Scorer Last

Dane Gagai's try scorer last line is posted.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Newcastle Knights @ New Zealand Warriors Tries Over — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dane Gagai is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dane Gagai is Yes on Try Scorer Last. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters on Sunday 4 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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