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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dane Gagai is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 4%, implied 4%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 27, 8:22AM UTC
NRL

Dane Gagai

NRL

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
+0.1% Edge
Newcastle Knights @ New Zealand Warriors
Sun 30 Aug, 4:00AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 3.9% · the book's price implies 3.8% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over3.9%—3.8%25.54+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights: Dane Gagai Over 1.5 Tries (+2500)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 30 August 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dane Gagai Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Dane Gagai scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Dane Gagai has scored a try in each of his last 2 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dane Gagai is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dane Gagai is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors on Sunday 30 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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