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NRL

Dylan Lucas

NRL

Value call

Dylan Lucas has one live pick today: over 1.5 try scorer over that pays $3,400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
5 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 5.2% · the book's price implies 2.9% · gap +2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Newcastle Knights @ Sydney Roosters
Sun 4 Oct, 7:30 PM AEDT
Dylan Lucas
over 1.5 try scorer over
Tries Over Over 1.5 +3300 (34.00) · $100→$3,400
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 5 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$340.00 Odds+3300
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dylan Lucas is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 5%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 9:50AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over5.2%—2.9%19.10+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights: Dylan Lucas Over 1.5 Tries (+3300)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dylan Lucas Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Dylan Lucas scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Newcastle Knights @ Sydney Roosters Tries Over — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Newcastle Knights @ Sydney Roosters Tries Over — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dylan Lucas is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dylan Lucas is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters on Sunday 4 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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