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Model picks & player props
NRL
Sat 1 Aug 2026, 5:30 PM AEST
Canberra Raiders
VS
Penrith Panthers

Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 23 markets for Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers and backs Under 44.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

20
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 44.5 total points
Under 44.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.5%
The price says49.7%

The model graded 23 markets for Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 1 Aug 2026, 5:30 PM AEST.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 44.5 Lean53% chance -110
Alt Total Points Members only Lean54% chance Members
Alt Spread Members only High84% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean55% chance Members
Anytime Try × 1 prop Long-shotup to 7% Members
Tries Over × 2 props Long-shotup to 1% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Canberra Raiders and Penrith Panthers last met on Sat 1 Aug 2026: Penrith Panthers won 42-18. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NRL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
44.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canberra RaidersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canberra RaidersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canberra RaidersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canberra RaidersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canberra RaidersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canberra RaidersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Canberra Raiders

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Penrith Panthers

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Josh Papalii Anytime Try
Josh Papalii Tries Over
Matty Nicholson Tries Over

+ 3 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Canberra Raiders @ Penrith Panthers — what the model found

Our model graded 23 betting markets for Canberra Raiders at Penrith Panthers — 20 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 23 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 22 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Canberra Raiders @ Penrith Panthers — model preview

Penrith Panthers v Canberra Raiders, 1 August 2026. Top of the list: Penrith Panthers to Win. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.

On Saturday 1 August 2026, Penrith Panthers play Canberra Raiders in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Penrith Panthers to Win, priced at -270 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Penrith Panthers to Win (-270)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

On Saturday 1 August 2026, Penrith Panthers host Canberra Raiders in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Penrith Panthers Match Winner. This one only needs Penrith Panthers to win the game. It was priced at -270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Betfair. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers in the NRL. You may also see this matchup written as Raiders vs Panthers, or as Panthers vs Raiders. The most recent game between them was Saturday 1 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Penrith Panthers 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 1 Aug 2026, Canberra Raiders at Penrith Panthers: Penrith Panthers won 42-18.

DateGameScoreWinner
1 Aug 2026Canberra Raiders @ Penrith Panthers42–18Penrith Panthers
10 May 2026Penrith Panthers @ Canberra Raiders18–30Penrith Panthers
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