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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mat Croker is Yes on Anytime Try.
On Anytime Try, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 7%, implied 7%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 8, 2:18PM UTC
NRL

Mat Croker

NRL

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Try Yes +1400 (15.00) · $100→$1,500
+0.2% Edge
Newcastle Knights @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
Fri 11 Sep, 9:50AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 147 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 6.8% · the book's price implies 6.7% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Try6.8%6.7%14.66+0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights: Mat Croker Anytime Try Scorer (+1400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Mat Croker Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Mat Croker scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $150 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mat Croker's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Anytime Try

Mat Croker's anytime try line is posted.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mat Croker is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mat Croker is Yes on Anytime Try. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs on Friday 11 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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