On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights play Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 66.5 Total Points, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 66.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 66.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Unibet. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Newcastle Knights to Win (-222)
Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights Match Winner. This one only needs Newcastle Knights to win the game. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Betfair. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Newcastle Knights -4.5 on the Line (-147)
Odds available at Neds at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Newcastle Knights -4.5 Line. On this line Newcastle Knights give up 4.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 4.5. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caleb Navale to Score a Try (+1500)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Navale Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Caleb Navale scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Clayton Faulalo Over 2.5 Tries (+15000)
Odds available at Unibet at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Clayton Faulalo Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Clayton Faulalo scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. That price was showing at Unibet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Newcastle Knights v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.