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The latest Bet Better model pick for Francis Manuleleua is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 2%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 2:38PM UTC
NRL

Francis Manuleleua

NRL

Value call

Francis Manuleleua has one live pick today: Tries Over Over 1.5 that pays $6,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +6000 (61.00) · $100→$6,100
Value call
Newcastle Knights @ Penrith Panthers
Sun 27 Sep, 6:05AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 2.1% · the book's price implies 1.6% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over2.1%—1.6%47.55+0.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights: Francis Manuleleua Over 1.5 Tries (+6000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Francis Manuleleua Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Francis Manuleleua scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +6000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $610 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Francis Manuleleua's lines for Sun 27 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Tries Over 1.5

Francis Manuleleua's tries over line is 1.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Francis Manuleleua is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Francis Manuleleua is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers on Sunday 27 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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