Ajay Mitchell (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 9.5 Points (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder gear up to host the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Ajay Mitchell to surpass the 9.5 points mark. Despite averaging 9.4 points in his last five outings, his home performances tell a different story-he's been more assertive on his court, bumping that average to 10.8 points. Moreover, his recent history against the Suns shows a bit of struggle, averaging just 5.3 points at home against them. However, with a 75% hit rate in his last 20 games and an impressive 15 out of 17 at home, Mitchell has a knack for stepping up when it matters. The numbers suggest he's ready to break through, with an expected output of 13.68 points. Given the Thunder's home advantage and Mitchell's proven ability to respond in front of his fans, betting on him to score over 9.5 points feels like a solid play.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 9.5 Points (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Grayson Allen is primed for a breakout performance against the Oklahoma City Thunder this Sunday. Sure, his recent average of 9 points might seem modest, but dive a little deeper, and you'll see a different story. When playing away, he's stepped it up, averaging 10 points, and his recent encounters with the Thunder have seen him notch up 14 points per game. Allen's confidence is soaring, boasting an impressive hit rate of 14 out of his last 16 away games. With a remarkable overall hit rate of 17 out of his last 20, he's become a reliable scorer when the stakes are high. The Thunder defense can be porous, especially against savvy shooters like Allen, making this a prime opportunity for him to exceed that 9.5 mark. Expect him to capitalize on the moment and put up the points we're banking on.

Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes should be on Dillon Brooks, particularly his scoring output. With an average of 18.8 points against the Thunder in their last five meetings, Brooks has consistently found ways to exploit their defense. Sure, his recent away games might show a dip, averaging 12 points, but that's not the full story. When facing Oklahoma City, he's stepped up, hitting closer to 17.2 points per game. With an expected stat value of 19.57, Brooks is primed to exceed the 16.5 mark. Additionally, his hit rate stands strong at 11 out of his last 19 games, suggesting a solid track record of capitalizing on opportunities. Given the game's competitive atmosphere and Brooks' knack for rising to the occasion, the Over on his points feels like a smart play.

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