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NBA

Jalen Williams

Oklahoma City Thunder

+18.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Asts Over 24.5 -125 (1.80)
+18.4% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Thu 11 Dec, 12:30AM
Model Probability
74.0%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+18.4%
Predicted Value
28.7 Pts + Asts

AI Analysis

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Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 24.5 Points + Assists (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Jalen Williams over 24.5 points + assists in the upcoming game between Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns is supported by his recent performance statistics. Over his last five games, Williams' average overall points (25.8) and assists (3) total 28.8, which is well above the proposed 24.5 threshold. This trend holds true even when considering only home games, with an average of 23 points and 4.8 assists, totaling 27.8. Although his average points (12) and assists (3.4) against Phoenix Suns at home are slightly lower, they still add up to 15.4. Given that our model expects his stat value to be 28.67 for this game, there's a strong statistical case for this bet. It's also worth noting that Williams has exceeded the 24.5 points + assists line in 3 out of his last 5 games, indicating a 60% recent

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 75.0% (6/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Dec 25 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts 24.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 40.5 Under -2000 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 9.5 Over -147 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points Pending
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts Pending
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs Pending

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