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NBA

Jalen Williams

Oklahoma City Thunder

Value call
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits

Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder) has one live pick today: under 28.5 pts rebs asts that pays $192 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
18.3 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.6% · before adjusting for past results 87.9% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap +26.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Thu 22 Oct, 9:30 PM ET
Jalen Williams
under 28.5 pts rebs asts
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 28.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.20 Odds-109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Williams is Under 28.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:28PM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Williams was stretchered off the floor during Sunday's game against the Clippers due to an apparent left ankle injury, NBA writer Justin Russo reports.
updated Oct 26, 1:28AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts87.9%78.6%52.1%1.27+35.8%

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AI Analysis

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets: Jalen Williams Under 28.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (-109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jalen Williams needs to have fewer than 29 combined points, rebounds, and assists for this bet to win tonight. The Oklahoma City Thunder often struggle with giving up rebounds, allowing nearly 46 a game, which means Williams might find it tough to rack up stats when his teammates are fighting for boards. Also, he may not see as many scoring chances against the Denver Nuggets, who are pretty tough on defense. With the Thunder giving up a lot of three-point attempts, Williams could be less involved in the game flow. The close nature of both teams could also mean fewer opportunities for standout performances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jalen Williams — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Williams averaged 21.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists in 32.4 minutes per game, shooting 47.8% from the field and 34.9% from three-point range.

21.2
PPG
5.3
RPG
5.1
APG
1.6
SPG
0.7
BPG
32.4
MPG
47.8%
FG%
34.9%
3P%

Jalen Williams — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Williams has played 35.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.6
MPG (L5)
18.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jalen Williams — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Williams averages 20.4 points per game; on the road, 22.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

20.4
PPG at home
22.1
PPG on the road

Jalen Williams — scoring by opponent

Jalen Williams scores most against the POR, averaging 21.1 points per game in that matchup.

21.1
POR
20.6
UTAH
20.3
SA
20.0
LAL
19.1
NO
18.9
GS

Jalen Williams — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Williams has averaged 21.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs DEN381894
11 May@ DEN331035
9 May@ DEN433235
7 Mayvs DEN261747
5 Mayvs DEN381674
26 Apr@ MEM382345
24 Apr@ MEM372665
22 Aprvs MEM352465
20 Aprvs MEM262056
9 Apr@ PHX363375
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Oct 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 25.5 Under +145 ✓ HIT
20 Oct 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Asts 21.5 Under +130 ✓ HIT
20 Oct 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 21.5 Under +125 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jalen Williams is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jalen Williams is Under 28.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +35.8% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday 22 October at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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