On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs play Sydney Roosters in the NRL. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 53.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 53.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 53.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Ladbrokes. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sydney Roosters +22.5 on the Line (-111)
Odds available at PlayUp at time of publishing
On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters 22.5 Line. On this line Sydney Roosters start with 22.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at PlayUp. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Daniel Tupou Over 2.5 Tries (+2200)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Daniel Tupou Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Daniel Tupou scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Lindsay Collins to Score a Try (+2200)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Lindsay Collins Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lindsay Collins scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Salesi Foketi Over 1.5 Tries (+3300)
Odds available at TAB at time of publishing
On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Salesi Foketi Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Salesi Foketi scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads South Sydney Rabbitohs v Sydney Roosters. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.