On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs play New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New Zealand Warriors +1.5 on the Line, priced at -192 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is New Zealand Warriors 1.5 Line. On this line New Zealand Warriors start with 1.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.20 if it lands. That price was showing at Ladbrokes. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New Zealand Warriors to Win (-143)
Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is New Zealand Warriors Match Winner. This one only needs New Zealand Warriors to win the game. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Betfair. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New Zealand Warriors to Win the First Half (-139)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is New Zealand Warriors First Half Match Winner. This one only needs New Zealand Warriors to be in front at half time. It was priced at -139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.20 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sean Keppie to Score a Try (+1500)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sean Keppie Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Sean Keppie scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jye Gray Over 1.5 Tries (+3300)
Odds available at Ladbrokes at time of publishing
On Saturday 22 August 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host New Zealand Warriors in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Jye Gray Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Jye Gray scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at Ladbrokes. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads South Sydney Rabbitohs v New Zealand Warriors. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.