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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel Tupou is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 5%, implied 4%, edge +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 7:55PM UTC
NRL

Daniel Tupou

NRL

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
+0.6% Edge
Sydney Roosters @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
Fri 4 Sep, 10:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 78 of 127 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
5 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 4.9% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over4.9%—4.3%20.34+0.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters: Daniel Tupou Over 2.5 Tries (+2200)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Friday 4 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Daniel Tupou Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Daniel Tupou scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Daniel Tupou is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daniel Tupou is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs on Friday 4 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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