On Monday 28 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the trends suggest a low-scoring affair is on the horizon. Forest's attack has been remarkably subdued at home, averaging just 0.4 goals in their last five matches and creating an xG of zero—an alarming statistic for any side. Meanwhile, Arsenal, despite their solid away form, has also been leaning towards tighter matches recently, averaging 1.2 goals away while conceding only 0.8. Both teams are struggling to find the net, and Forest's inability to convert chances coupled with Arsenal’s defensive discipline hints at a potential stalemate. With Forest’s last five home games failing to surpass the 2.5-goal mark, betting on the under seems to be a compelling choice. Expect a tactical battle that likely ends with fewer than three goals on the scoreboard.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to face Arsenal, the stats paint a compelling picture for a “No” bet on both teams scoring. Forest has struggled at home lately, managing only 0.4 goals per game in their last five home outings. With an xG average stubbornly at zero, their attacking woes are apparent. They've also averaged just 3.6 shots on target at home, hardly a recipe for success against a formidable Arsenal side. Conversely, Arsenal's recent form away has been solid, with 1.2 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. Their defensive organization has stifled opponents, and given Forest's lack of offensive firepower, it's tough to see them penetrating the Gunners' backline. With Nottingham’s poor scoring record and Arsenal’s consistency in shutting down threats, the odds favor a match without both teams finding the net.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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