On Sunday 27 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the betting landscape hints at a potential defensive battle. Nottingham's recent form at home has been troubling, averaging just 0.4 goals in their last five home matches and struggling to find the net consistently. Their xG statistics also paint a stark picture, showing a lack of offensive creativity with no expected goals (xG) over that span. On the flip side, Arsenal's away performances have been solid, but their scoring has also been tempered, averaging 1.2 goals in their last five. With both teams' recent trends leaning heavily towards low-scoring affairs—especially Nottingham's inability to convert chances—betting on under 2.5 goals seems prudent. Given the context of their past encounters and current form, expect a tight match with defenses likely to overshadow any attacking flair.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stats tell a compelling story for a 'No' bet on both teams to score. Forest has struggled to find the back of the net lately, averaging just 0.4 goals at home in their last five games, while their xG suggests they’re not even creating serious chances. With a dismal scoring average of only 0.8 against opponents, they seem unlikely to breach Arsenal's defense. On the flip side, Arsenal's recent form has been solid, boasting a 4-0-1 record in their last five away matches, yet they've only scored an average of 1.2 goals on the road. Given Forest's defensive capabilities and Arsenal’s slight dip in offensive output, it seems likely we’ll see a tight contest, favoring the 'No' for both teams scoring. Expect a low-scoring affair where Arsenal edges it without conceding.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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