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Model picks & player props
Ottawa Senators
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 3:48AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Sun 28 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 9.5 Total Goals -2000

The model graded 4 markets for Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $105 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Scotiabank Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win98.9%
The price says95.2%
Best price-2000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 9.5 High99% chance -2000
Spread High73% chance —
Puck Lines High96% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
9.5
-2000
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,403+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Ottawa Senators

  • Artem Zub DOut
  • Jake Sanderson DOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Calle Jarnkrok COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
Availability updated Jul 1, 10:34PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Toronto Maple LeafsNo line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 0 of their last 5 games; Ottawa Senators have won 1 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3OTTAway
L5–6DALHome
L2–6FLAHome
L3–5NYIAway
L0–4WSHHome
Ottawa Senators — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4CARHome
L1–2CARHome
L2–3CARAway
L0–2CARAway
W3–1TORHome

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, Ottawa Senators won 3.

DateToronto Maple LeafsOttawa SenatorsWinner
Apr 1513Ottawa Senators
Mar 2125Ottawa Senators
Mar 125Ottawa Senators

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Calle Jarnkrok COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT
Ottawa Senators
PlayerStatus
Artem Zub DOUT
Jake Sanderson DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Senators vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Senators. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 December 2025 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Ottawa Senators 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
15 Apr 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators3–1Ottawa Senators
21 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators5–2Ottawa Senators
1 Mar 2026Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs2–5Ottawa Senators
Today's selected board

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