New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators : New York Rangers +1.5 (-263)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on New York Rangers +1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is predicated on their strong historical performance against the Ottawa Senators. Despite their recent home struggles, the Rangers' last five encounters with the Senators show a commanding 4-1 record. This suggests that the Rangers have traditionally been able to successfully match up against the Senators. Moreover, our model predicts a relatively low scoring game (0.13), which favors a bet on the Rangers with a +1.5 goal start, as fewer goals in the game make it more likely the Rangers can cover the spread. While the Senators have a perfect away record in their last five games, their overall record is only 2-3, the same as the Rangers. This indicates that the Senators' away form could be due for a regression, further justifying the bet on the Rangers +1.5.

Artemi Panarin (New York Rangers) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+170)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Artemi Panarin to score at any time during the New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators game is supported by several key data points. Firstly, Panarin’s average goals per game both at home and overall in the last five games is 0.4, mirroring the model’s prediction of 0.4 goals for this game. Moreover, his shot average in the last five home games is 4, which implies a decent probability of getting a goal. Additionally, his hit rate of 50% (4 out of the last 8 games) also supports the likelihood of him finding the net. While Panarin's current hit streak is at 0, his hit rate and recent performance data suggest a strong potential for goal scoring during this game. Therefore, statistical analysis supports the bet on Panarin to score at any point in the game.

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